WxUSAF

^GEFS looks like GGEM

With wind and full Sun, having those temps verify would be quite impressive. Hell, I think a sub-freezing day at all with full Sun is pretty solid by ~March 1.

Snowcover enhanced, but damn that's a cold day for next Monday on the GFS. Especially for Feb 28. Low 10s for lows, highs low 20s for metro corridors, maybe upper 10s for N/W places.

Probably some rocking upslope with that northern stream out @nj2va's and @jonjon's places.

NS digs in way farther west and helps lift @CAPE storm northward.

Low of 15

Sunny, 41F, and snow flurries

#SeasonalTrend #AtmosphericMemory

Nice! Birded around the neighborhood this morning. Birds are definitely getting more active as spring approaches.

Pinger party at my house! GFS has that Feb 28th event too… Euro was close at 0z.

Need that sweet sweet digital blue every 6 hours to keep flying high

BWI gust to 64!

Gust to 54 officially at BWI

Wind was rocking when that line came through at 515. Still very windy.

BWI hit 70 also

The antecedent conditions (cold push, high strength and positioning) were better on the euro than the gfs at 12z. But euro just amped that storm up too much so it still cuts far west. But that is a euro bias so…

There’s a leading area of precipitation on all the guidance ahead of the main low. Like late Thursday. Guidance also mostly peters it out before quite getting to us. But our airmass is good, so if we can juice that up…

I meant today

March 15

What a complete debacle of a women’s figure skating competition.

The -EPO ridge advertised may be the strongest of the winter? And it’s not fantasyland. The PAC jet extension that starts kicking it off begins in 48-72hrs. The Atlantic side is weirder, but a properly placed TPV can do good things for us. I think that’s the bigger wild card, however. Does look like a very juicy pattern coming up. My instinct is that slop/mix storms are heavily favored over pure snow given both the pattern and the calendar. But even a front end snow transitioning to mix/rain could be a big hit given the moisture plume and cold air source.

On a related note in case anyone needs them, the covid home tests are easily available again! Ordered four packs on Amazon yesterday at 2-3pm and they were delivered to the house at 830pm.

So far so good for my parents, wife, and son. My wife and son probably have another couple days with it I’d guess. Daughter and I are wondering if we get it. We’re not going to isolate them in the basement or whatever because we were just as exposed to my parents over the weekend and to them the last few days. So I figure we’re already as exposed as we can get.

Dodged it for 2 years, but the Rona found us. Wife and son both positive today. Both pretty mild symptoms. My parents had/have it and had negative home tests this past weekend so they visited us for my son’s birthday and spread it. So it goes.