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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    Good. Let’s have a solid 6 week period of -PNA to charge up the cold air source region and then get a pattern flip again in mid December.
  2. I slept through an earthquake!?
  3. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    Below normal temps and snow. Nickel and dimed to death with one good event that was a 33F paste bomb.
  4. Spreadsheet with all entries. Next Tuesday-Thursday continues to look like a legit chance for IAD and BWI at least. Monthly high of 81F so far at DCA. 2022 First Freeze Contest.xlsx
  5. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    With a -PNA, storms will typically cut west of us. The -NAO can force storms to redevelop on the coast after cutting west, which can create a Miller B bonanza for SNE while we smoke cirrus. A -PNA/-NAO combo can be very lucrative for NYC and points north. Much harder to get it to work for us.
  6. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    That’s rarely true down here.
  7. Best time of year that doesn’t involve ripping fatties
  8. Next Tuesday-Thursday seems like a good first freeze chance for many of the colder burbs. IAD and BWI possibly as well. Even ensemble means have widespread 30s for lows those days.
  9. Ravens seem to have good game plans to start the last few weeks, but the other teams make adjustments and they can’t seem to adjust back.
  10. 35.6F for the low so far! Car is frosty. Eta… 35.2 for low
  11. Looks like BWI stayed in the 50s today Except for the midnight high
  12. Low of 44. Hoping to get into the 30s tomorrow.
  13. BWI: 10/22 IAD: 10/22 RIC: 11/7 DCA: 11/14 Tie: 81F
  14. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    Perhaps in response to HT strat water vapor in the Southern Hemisphere being picked up? And if there is a -NAO, can it pair up with a favorable or non-hostile Pac at times?
  15. The seasons have definitely switched as the GFS has quickly gone from overdoing D10+ heatwaves to overdoing D10+ cold fronts.
  16. 45F with light rain. Winter is here!
  17. Relaxing until you looked at the radar lol
  18. This reminds me of that 3 day long storm Jan 31-Feb 2, 2020. Long duration, very scattered and showery.
  19. If this was a winter storm, I’d be pretty pissed. Lot of betwixt and between with mist and drizzle.
  20. Simple is better sometimes. Doesn’t make sense.
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