For this Friday thing to have any chance, we need the ULL to dig south of us and develop the coastal there so we can get any scrap of coldish air. GFS is moving the wrong way, but 12z euro wasn’t too far off.
Friday. GGEM amplifies the follow up wave and gives us some digital blue (and green) next weekend. Seems like lots of chances coming up. Marginal cold air, but hopefully “enough” with the right storm track.
All 4 major airports saw similar departures from this cold air:
24th: ~ - 23F
25th: ~ - 15F
26th: ~ -12F
All are running 2-3F BN for December. Will walk some of that back the next few days, so maybe ending around -1F?
A shift to a more favorable longwave pattern remains steady around the 7th/8th. Not much else worth looking at IMO before this weekend assuming that doesn’t change.
You can see the temps cooling the last 48-72 hours of the ensembles. If that H5 look is right, temps will cool down fast. Point is, the torch looks temporary and so far the return to a better look isn’t getting can-kicked.
Don’t think we’re going to get digital blue as a Christmas present, but we did get continued good H5 looks at D13 or so overnight. Better than coal and onions in our stocking I guess.