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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. For this Friday thing to have any chance, we need the ULL to dig south of us and develop the coastal there so we can get any scrap of coldish air. GFS is moving the wrong way, but 12z euro wasn’t too far off.
  2. Friday. GGEM amplifies the follow up wave and gives us some digital blue (and green) next weekend. Seems like lots of chances coming up. Marginal cold air, but hopefully “enough” with the right storm track.
  3. That trailing trough is getting more robust, but seems like just more 38F rain for most of us. Maybe mashed potatoes for @psuhoffman and @mappy.
  4. Second Feb 2010 was a classic Miller B with a northern stream shortwave that exploded off the coast.
  5. Kudos to you on the December call that seemed destined for a bust 3 weeks ago. Hope you’re equally prescient for January!
  6. +4-8F in Canada is still cold enough for us to snow
  7. BWI got down to 36 this morning somehow. Only +9F on the low!
  8. Pretty foggy here. 1/4mi vis?
  9. Walking on the mall in DC and need to find some indoors air conditioned building soon
  10. I’m here and I am on vacation actually lol. Just not going to spend too much time parsing D9+.
  11. Probably because the strat vortex is very strong, but also has not been well coupled to the troposphere this winter.
  12. All 4 major airports saw similar departures from this cold air: 24th: ~ - 23F 25th: ~ - 15F 26th: ~ -12F All are running 2-3F BN for December. Will walk some of that back the next few days, so maybe ending around -1F?
  13. The goalposts are moving so fast in here. Need to call in Justin tucker for the 72yd field goal into the wind.
  14. Also…by eye, it looks like the AO flips negative even sooner on the GEFS. Around the 4th.
  15. A shift to a more favorable longwave pattern remains steady around the 7th/8th. Not much else worth looking at IMO before this weekend assuming that doesn’t change.
  16. High of 32. Going to be a solid 96 hours at or below freezing IMBY by tomorrow.
  17. January’s gonna be rockin’
  18. You can see the temps cooling the last 48-72 hours of the ensembles. If that H5 look is right, temps will cool down fast. Point is, the torch looks temporary and so far the return to a better look isn’t getting can-kicked.
  19. Don’t think we’re going to get digital blue as a Christmas present, but we did get continued good H5 looks at D13 or so overnight. Better than coal and onions in our stocking I guess.
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