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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Pinatubo and HT are VERY different eruptions and Pinatubo was 4 years before 95-96 winter.
  2. Crazy -NAOs can do amazing things. For instructional purposes and to show the type of opportunities we could see in December with this type of block: This is a complete big dog H5 pattern. Mega west-based -NAO, longitudinally extended trop PV underneath, and a strong shortwave entering in CA. But it’s mid-December and a Niña, both of which are factors working against big dogs. GFS squashes this shortwave, which is not a surprising outcome in a Niña. Still, we might get some enticing Op runs in the days ahead.
  3. It was a thorough team loss. Except for Tucker.
  4. He missed one today and that drop by Andrews was awful
  5. It didn’t work out great for us and we have the Boxing Day fiasco, but I think we’d all roll with that chance again.
  6. Great drive and they stall again
  7. ^When the -NAO is so big it becomes a -AO
  8. Ravens offense needs to get shocked back to life. They could have put this game away and now they’re down 1 at half.
  9. And now this high powered Jags offense is carving up the defense.
  10. How the hell are the ravens up against the play clock every damn play!?!
  11. You're trolling, but that is something we've seen before in Ninas. Precip amounts underperform at game time more often than in Ninos.
  12. Ensembles last night can kicked by 24-48hrs. They precise timing has been bouncing around so it’s not exactly a notable change. And as I’ve said several times, I don’t mind a modest can kick while our climo gets better day by day.
  13. December to remember or another Niña dud?
  14. Of course on principle I don’t like above normal temp days, but this was pretty nice wx to put up our Xmas lights.
  15. Yes it is, which normally is a bad sign for our snow chances. But with high latitude blocking like that, the whole conus is basically BN temp wise.
  16. This is kinda nuts for a D13 ensemble mean for the -NAO. That Dec 6-11 period is an above-average early season snow threat window.
  17. BWI: 14.6” DCA: 9.3” IAD: 16.1” RIC: 7.7” SBY: 6.5”
  18. It should be win and advance for USMNT against Iran. Got to beat somebody and this is the team they should win against. Let’s gooo!!
  19. Right, it assumes Wales loses to England.
  20. US should beat Iran though, right?? Obviously a draw or win today is much preferred, but as long as they don’t get crushed against England and then beat Iran, they should advance on goal differential?
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