6z euro was even farther north with heavy rain overnight. 0.5” contour along the M/D line. 12z 3k NAM appears to have shifted north with one band of precipitation at least.
Euro says I’m getting 0.75”+ of rain today and overnight. Other models basically have nothing until tomorrow evening. Euro has been fairly consistent with putting significant rain up to Baltimore, but it’s on an island.
My WAG is that RIC and BWI have a chance tomorrow for 100, but probably not DCA or IAD. BWI only if it can stay sunny until ~3pm and get a little new tarmac assist. Probably 98ish for DCA and 95-96 IAD?