Multivariate ENSO index. Basically a more comprehensive way to measure the impact of ENSO on the ocean and atmosphere. The current MEI is basically “warm neutral” vs strong Nino pacific SSTs.
Great blog on those euro forecasts for a week December strat vortex.
https://simonleewx.com/2023/11/03/whats-that-coming-over-the-hill-is-it-a-weak-vortex/
Score update!
@GATECH is leading with a departure of just 3 days. @southmdwatcher a close second with 4, and @BristowWx third with 5.
BWI has a departure of +3.9F for October, warmer than anyone predicted. @BristowWx closest among the contenders.