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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. GFS holding strong though
  2. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    I doubt it as HT-HH emitted very little SO2 into the stratosphere.
  3. Low of 58. Dew point of 50!
  4. Nice Miller B hit for us Monday-Tuesday per Euro and GFS. Niña seasonal trend getting set up early!?!
  5. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    Having more H2O in the stratosphere will likely lead to more O3 destruction, but not necessarily at the pole pending how the circulation transports it.
  6. That Rt50 junction with the beltway area has had 4-6” of rain in the last few days per iWeathernet.
  7. @nw baltimore wxsnatching some victory from the jaws of defeat??
  8. It’s not pouring here, but the raindrops are total meteors.
  9. Greenish sky to my south with lots of lightning
  10. Gonna be close for me. Distant thunder now. Dicey for anyone north of i70 it looks like.
  11. Not loving the trajectory for HoCo right now, but we’ll see how it evolves.
  12. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    @psuhoffman has a 10 page thesis ready for posting in October
  13. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    The double problem this year is even if ENSO can get overcome by other factors, which can happen under certain circumstances, most/all of the other indicators are also in unfavorable states: PDO, QBO, solar activity, etc. Maybe Siberian snowcover will save us!?!?
  14. Ugh that sucks. I looked at radar and figured you were going to get lit up. About 0.5” IMBY.
  15. He had to make up for the TOOTBLAN and that horrid throw home.
  16. 87F as the rain starts to fall in Columbia
  17. I’m intrigued. Some gorgeous structure on one of the cells to the north I can see in the distance
  18. +10F day so far at BWI, pending any late evening storms. Our big major cooldown this weekend will probably struggle to get a -5F day.
  19. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    In all honesty, I think this winter is probably going to be a dumpster fire. Triple dip Niña and a moderate modoki Niña to boot? Throw in increasing solar activity and unfavorable QBO and…yikes. There’s very low sample size on moderate Ninas with a westerly QBO, so I guess we can hope on that…but still. Maybe we can get one nice event that pushes us out of total disaster?
  20. Landover-Cheverly area getting lit up. On the very edge of it at work in Greenbelt
  21. I’m imagining the Alan Grant in Jurassic Park gif for when @WxWatcher007 looked at the 6z GFS
  22. Low-mid 40s for dew points on Saturday…omg can’t wait
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