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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    It’s not even that. Way less than other guidance. It pushes the remnant low well south with that high pressing in more and suppressing it.
  2. WxUSAF
    Heavy rain threat per WPC
  3. WxUSAF
    Euro definitely not on #TeamGFS. Gets rain started Friday evening, way earlier than other guidance. Actually a break for late Saturday and early Sunday, then more rain through Tuesday. VA is drowned…3-10”. Less for MD, but still a bunch. GFS a total outlier.
  4. WxUSAF
    Differences in rainfall totals between the GFS and other 12z globals so far are ludicrous. GFS is like 0.5-1” for most of the sub. Icon is like 3-6” and GGEM 2-4”.
  5. WxUSAF
    Thanks! You could just go the cheaper/lazier/slower route and get a native meadow seed mix and just let it fill in. Those usually have a variety of native grasses and wildflowers that will handle a sunny and dry spot well once they are established. Lots of online native nurseries sell something like that.
  6. WxUSAF
    Putting in a new native plant garden bed. Hoping to get all the plants in the ground before the rain this weekend.
  7. WxUSAF
    44.8 for the low
  8. WxUSAF
    We have my mother in laws 70th birthday party at a brewery Saturday. Was also really hoping for an after-sunset start, but that seems to be a losing bet right now.
  9. WxUSAF
    Storm mode is on! Keep all your carrot cake and cheese discussions in here!
  10. WxUSAF
  11. WxUSAF
    Euro is a deluge. 1.5-5” area wide. Rain from Saturday morning into the wee hours of Wednesday.
  12. WxUSAF
    GFS and GGEM both juiced up for the whole sub. Still timing differences though.
  13. WxUSAF
    Seems like more divergence on Ian rain arrival time overnight than was present yesterday. 6z GFS really slows it down and doesn’t bring it into the metro areas until early Sunday. Whereas the 0z euro moved a little earlier, starting mid-late morning Saturday. How much the high pressure pushes and where the northern edge sets up also are in play.
  14. WxUSAF
    Thoughts on a dedicated Ian remnants thread for us? Overnight runs really slowed down the remnants and run it into a brick wall with another Canadian high coming south next weekend. Only the GGEM gets rain to us by Saturday now.
  15. WxUSAF
    Yes! There are also varieties of tickseed which have daisy-like yellow flowers blooming now. Both native. I have some goldenrod in my yard and it will self-seed, but not overly aggressively. Goldenrod is an important food source for south-migrating monarch butterflies as well!
  16. WxUSAF
    45.7 for the low
  17. WxUSAF
    50.5 for the low. Dew point down to 38!
  18. WxUSAF
    Blueberry bush
  19. WxUSAF
    Just not October 1st please! 0.2” at home
  20. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    WxUSAF replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic

    JB’s head would explode
  21. WxUSAF
    Might need Hermine-Ian as a drought buster
  22. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    WxUSAF replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic

    Good luck if you think winters from a century ago are good analogs
  23. WxUSAF
    Looks like 2 primary groups for future Hermine/Ian tracks in the GEFS. Quicker moving track cuts east across Florida and moves up the coast, but mostly offshore. Second group is slower and gets into the Gulf where it then moves onto the north Gulf shore and then maybe eventually impacts us like that Op.
  24. WxUSAF
  25. WxUSAF
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