All guidance except the euro puts most of MD and NoVA in the single digits by tonight and tomorrow morning. Euro keeps the single digits above the fall line or even a little more N/W.
If we can see the other side of the warm/relax period by the time we get to the warm/relax period, then I'll be pretty satisfied. Long way off, but seems there's a chance of that.
18z hrrr says 1F IMBY early Saturday. I’ll take the over. Any single digit temp would be very impressive without snow cover. February 2019 was the last single digit temp at BWI and that did come with a light snow cover.
I don’t think so. More that the Niña is not as coupled to the atmospheric pattern right now. That coupling or lack of can be a persistent feature or it can be transient. This Niña is dying but not dead yet, so I’d expect it to exert some influence still but can’t say when.