WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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I’ve thought about tracking model snowfall as predicted at 24/48/72hrs through the season, but I’d do it manually and that’s a lot of work.
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I’m going to miss the snow at deep creek by 12 hours…
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Frost on neighborhood rooftops this morning, but none on the grass. The FDA fields north of Greenbelt had heavy frost. Those fields radiate very well so I’d wager they hit freezing or lower. Car thermometer read 35 when I drove through at 8am.
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Was 34F at 130am IMBY and then flatlined and even rose. Now 35-36. Boooooo
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Looks like we’re going 0-fer tonight. IAD down as low as 33, so maybe still reaches on an intrahour temp before morning.
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Down to 39 already. Should be able to get 7F over 9+ hours?
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^agreed. Think this might be the best fall color in 5+ years.
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IAD snuck down to 33 as @George BM mentioned in the contest thread. Only 40 at BWI, and DCA and RIC not worth mentioning. 38.3 for the low IMBY.
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Freeze watches and warnings surrounding the metro area on all sides, but none for central MD or the 495-adjacent counties in VA.
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Not very close today
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Looking like the -PNA pattern may be more durable, although it does seem to relax toward a more zonal pattern by Halloween weekend.
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Split
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I want a gusty shower
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Chances the next 3 days look lower than it did before. I still think IAD has a good chance, but BWI and RIC may come up short.
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They still might reach the playoffs because there’s a lot of mediocrity in the division and the AFC. But a team like the chiefs or bills will crush them.
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Terrible. They’ve had second half leads in each game. Maybe even 4th quarter leads? Lamar’s interceptions the last few weeks have all been bad decisions.
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Ravens are allergic to holding leads
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I’M ALL IN
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Think it’s possible IAD freezes Tuesday, RIC Wednesday, and then BWI Thursday.
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Yeah, I agree with your general point that a “climo” airmass is increasingly insufficient for us to get snow outside of your yard. Need to get inland or north of NYC for a climo airmass to be sufficient. 2-4F of warming is a killer when a lot of past snowstorms were 30-34F wet snow events.
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-12 is a bit of an exaggeration because overnight temps are normally below freezing. Need like a -3 - -4 on the daily mean temp to have a daily mean temp below freezing.
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Start a medium/long range October and November thread if you’d like
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This feels a little bit lagging, but hoping the colors will be great when I’m at Deep Creek Lake next week.
