Agreed. I don’t think there’s enough runway left to get to a solution that gives frozen precipitation to the metro corridor. Far N/W still in the game for something.
There have been plenty of signs in op runs and ensembles that we probably get a respectable arctic push from this pattern and both GGEM and GFS show it today. That probably means cold/dry for a couple days outside snow showers with the arctic front. Question then becomes if we can throw some moisture back over the cold air as the TPV retreats back to Canada.
Feb 25th, down 18” below climo, winter 22-23 is going for the QB jump sneak from the 5 yard line…a dynamically cooling induced dusting overnight with a temp of 34F.