Ensembles last night can kicked by 24-48hrs. They precise timing has been bouncing around so it’s not exactly a notable change. And as I’ve said several times, I don’t mind a modest can kick while our climo gets better day by day.
US should beat Iran though, right?? Obviously a draw or win today is much preferred, but as long as they don’t get crushed against England and then beat Iran, they should advance on goal differential?
I wouldn’t mind a can kick as long as we do get a supportive snow pattern eventually (which I do think will happen with that high latitude look plus MJO progression). Climo is so much better by Dec 15.
Whoa, apologies for not announcing this before. With DCA reaching freezing on 11/18, that actually gave @yoda and @MN Transplant a tie with 17 days total departure. @GramaxRefugee comes in 3rd with 18 days. But @MN Transplanthit the tiebreaker of 81F exactly right and thus is the winner! Congrats!
Last year we started getting teased in late Nov/early Dec and the can got kicked into early January. I wouldn’t be surprised in the least if the can gets kicked 4-7 days here or maybe more. This really good pattern has only been teased for ~2 days so far also, so not exactly a lock yet.