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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Spoiler alert. It’s 7 and counting
  2. WxUSAF
    MacDonald definitely figured out the bengals
  3. WxUSAF
    Bills are making me sad
  4. WxUSAF
    Our cat is enjoying the fire
  5. WxUSAF
    Sleet! #sleettown #winter2223
  6. WxUSAF
    @mitchnick with the tip.
  7. WxUSAF
    Euro control arctic blasts and record lows in Siberia. JB must be getting tingly.
  8. WxUSAF
    Maybe I accidently bombed the old thread? Something weird happened when I was deleting one of Chuck’s posts.
  9. WxUSAF
  10. WxUSAF
    There was 80” of snow NW of the cities with that lake effect event last month!
  11. WxUSAF
    @psuhoffman re: why the pac is bad, you have to consider the -PDO. We had a very favorable PDO during our 09-10 through 15-16 winters. There were news stories about the “ridiculously resilient ridge” and associated west coast drought and ocean ecosystem impacts. Now that’s flipped and a -PNA is favored by that alone.
  12. WxUSAF
    Yea, plenty of time to shift to Binghamton.
  13. WxUSAF
    0z euro was also fairly snowy, especially for the M/D line crew. And it’s close to being a decent front end for everyone. Euro sends the bulk of the WAA precip north of us into southern PA. If that could be a more flush hit there’s a legit chance of a 1-3” type front end.
  14. WxUSAF
    We are coordinating with a contractor for a bathroom renovation. Partial DIY. He’ll do the tub and surround and I’ll do the rest. I did a DIY renovation of our half bath last spring and am mostly satisfied with it.
  15. WxUSAF
    In general, a farther cut west can sometimes work for a better front end if there’s more confluence over NE and we can get enough precipitation overrunning the warm front. Trick is the precip comes with the WAA, so there’s a balance there when our airmass is eternally marginal. But maybe that’s what the GEPS is keying on.
  16. WxUSAF
    Interesting the GEPS likes midweek because the 12z GGEM finally loaded and cuts it west of Detroit. I think there’s still some hope for front end slop from that, but nothing more. Any substantial frozen-dominant system has to wait until after.
  17. WxUSAF
    Even NCEP doesn’t want to overwrite that gorgeous D13 happy hour MECS
  18. WxUSAF
    Is NCEP having issues? GFS/GEFS seems stuck on TT at least.
  19. WxUSAF
  20. WxUSAF
    The durable -NAO isn’t crazy. Ensembles keep correcting to more -NAO in the long range the last several days and in theory a strat PV disruption would reinforce it as well.
  21. WxUSAF
    Exactly! SSWs never fail!
  22. WxUSAF
    That OC selection will say a lot about what they want to do with Lamar. Lot of folks speculating on internal promotion.
  23. WxUSAF
    That’s not that far off from what we’re getting in the week ahead. Just with less WAR I guess. Smarch is coming to save winter 22-23!
  24. WxUSAF
    We have a thread for this!!
  25. WxUSAF
    Agreed. I don’t think there’s enough runway left to get to a solution that gives frozen precipitation to the metro corridor. Far N/W still in the game for something.
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