WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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Low of 55. Happy fall!
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If you believe the ensembles, the major heat does recede by next weekend and the week after. Still warm for September, but more like mid/upper 80s.
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It looks awful. And probably will continue into at least the second week of the month, although maybe like upper 80s/low 90s vs near 100 next week. Might have to start looking at record warmest September and see how close we may get.
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Nice rain for 5-10 minutes. Going to get crispy next week when @Jebman south Texas summer weather comes.
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Dews in the 60s mostly. So could be worse I suppose, but HIs going to be in HA/EHW range almost certainly.
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Next week is gonna SUCK
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18z GFS says 8 consecutive 95F or higher days in September. Has that happened before?
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12z gfs says we hit 110 the second week of September
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Ok I’m done. I’ve hit my limit for hot temps. Under 80 at least please.
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^thanks. Glad I wasn’t going crazy. It’s been putting out temps for next weekend and beyond that would probably challenge all time highs in the Plains and Midwest. In September… I don’t doubt it will be well AN, but it’s ridiculous.
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I mean come on.
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Well GFS thinks we’re gonna get stuck in the upper 90s and low 100s starting next Saturday
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We’re doing our deep creek weekend early this year…Sep 22-25. I figure there should be some color but probably still 2-3 weeks before peak?
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Yeah that’s some bad news to wake up to. Maybe best case is a shoulder strain or something like that? Hopefully not elbow/forearm…
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Couple miles from home in SE Ellicott City and having a brief heavy rain shower. No thunder.
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@dtk or someone else with knowledge…has the GFS changed their land surface model in some way? I know it’s been hot in many places, but the GFS has been putting out stupid crazy temps that are not verifying.
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I was at the game and immediately jumped up and yelled TIE GAME BABY!!
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
WxUSAF replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’m gonna take the under on the mid 90s heat for today- 2,785 replies
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Euro has it also. Similar to GGEM through FL landfall, but euro gets shoved farther OTS with the incoming gorgeous early fall HP. Still probably cat 2/3 near our latitude though.
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12z GGEM back with the eastern gulf homebrew that comes close enough to keep an eye on. Marginal PRE signal as well.
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My prior for this winter is that there will be a lot of mild air around and probably a lot of precipitation. If we get a snowy winter, my assumption is that it will be with a solid/maybe epic 2-3 week period and if we’re really lucky we maybe get 2 of those periods. Obviously favoring Jan-Feb for cold and snowy periods.
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Aleutian ridge with a strong Nino? Sure Jan.
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Some rain (maybe 1”? Hard to tell because moisture gets pulled up ahead of a frontal boundary) and breezy
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Up to 3-4” of rain on eastern shore. Maybe TS conditions for Ocean City.
