WxUSAF

Only SiriusXM I think

The -PNA of goals

Seems like Berhalter goes to prevent defense every 2nd half so if we hold a draw at the half he’ll probably start playing to make it to PKs.

What does it it take for a damn Gio Reyna sighting!?!

Does that count in lieu of your 70F day?

Hovering on the MacBook just shows "Weenie" or "Thanks", etc.

I'm trying now with my MacBook and same thing. The board must hate me.

6z GFS and 12z Euro show that we still have a possible storm window in the Dec 9-10 window and probably more chances beyond that. But from a RELOAD/pattern point of view, it's become clear that things will take more time and/or be more variable. Two reasons for that that I see. Kudos to Prince GEFS here for sniffing this out sooner than King EPS. 1. Our ridge bridge is not going to capture a piece of the tropospheric PV underneath it like we thought it would. Look here, we're going to get our ridge bridge with the PV underneath! But, it doesn't last. The AK ridging wobbles back west, opening a big fat exit door and the PV escapes. This is what also helps let the SE ridge flex. No PV to squash it down. It also means we're stuck with somewhat mediocre air masses vs some good arctic air. Contrast that to what we thought we'd have as of last weekend. We thought/hoped the ridge bridge would persist, and keep the PV trapped. But it doesn't look like it. 2. The damn -PNA. It's a Nina, so can't be surprised, but it just doesn't want to quit. If we had that PV underneath our -NAO (which does seem wonderfully strong and persistent across all guidance), we could manage the fairly modest -PNA that seems to never want to quit. But without that cold air mass nearby helping to change the waveguide and force a trough over us, even the somewhat mediocre -PNA shown on today's 12z GEFS would give us fits. Not sure how this all plays out besides continuing to counsel patience. The very good news is that we seem to have a very durable -NAO/-AO combination building within the next 3-4 days. It's not fantasy land! The blocking is coming. Question is when we can take advantage. With that blocking around, Op guidance will produce weird solutions and combine that with the Nina and it's not a recipe for long-track storms regardless. With that blocking, if we can time up a shortwave with a fresh airmass, we can cash in quick.

Nope. Don’t get that. If I really tap and hold I get this iPhone function.

Great WPC met who is hopefully not a closet snow-hater.

Request submitted. Welcome @wxmvpete!

No Nope. I’m tapping away like an idiot and nothing happens

iPhone using google app

Nope Never seen that

That doesn’t work for me. At least on mobile.

Yeah. I don’t see how to tell who does that.

How do you see who likes a post?? I’ve never learned that function.

23.5 for the low

It’s not just us. The SNE weenies are doing the same thing. For lack of a better term, good patterns often have to “marinate” for a bit before we get snow out of them. Isn’t always true, this past January being a prime example, but it is more common to have to wait. With the AO and NAO looking like that, I think a generally favorable environment is going to stick around for awhile. And are many people really going to complain if our better snow chances are in the week leading up to Xmas vs Dec 7-12??

Someone posted something on this either here or on Twitter in the last week. We still don’t want a super strong -PNA.

I think I’m as optimistic as anyone about this pattern and I have two assumptions: 1. It will probably take longer than “expected” to get snow out of this upcoming pattern. 2. Our December snow climo sucks, so a “good” productive pattern this month might still result in like 3” for DCA and 4-6” for BWI and IAD. Winter’s back!!

Off topic, but has anyway been getting a LOT more really shitty ads on Twitter the last few days?

Southern slider first, congrats Raleigh. Second storm cuts north of us, congrats Chowdahheads. Maybe we get the third storm before the big Xmas torch??

It doesn't mean it's right, but as I said yesterday (?) the EPS has been rock-solid for days now with the RELOADED pattern while the GEFS has bounced between very similar-to-the-EPS looks and bigger -PNA looks. I don't see any reason to switch off the EPS at this point.

It’s got a hint of that southern slider look around the 9th and 10th also. Euro showing that at 12z too but it’s way south.