WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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Dude's 87 years old, you can't just make him dance for nothing!
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I'm skeptical of that much sleet for areas south of @mappy/ @psuhoffman / @HighStakes, etc. But we'll see. If my kids can slant stick 0.1" of sleet accumulation I will take it! There's not going to be any snow for our subforum's region outside of maybe the northern part of the Blue Ridge area or eastern WV/Garrett County MD.
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3k is very sleety to start.
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You mean next Thursday’s massive cutter that will ruin Christmas and our great pattern?
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I know when I was a kid in Harford county there was chatter about splitting off North Harford HS like the Hereford zone. As a kid outside that zone, I was of course violently opposed . Hasn’t happened still.
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In a "normal" winter (if we ever have such a thing), there's probably 1-3 days where an east/west split would make sense for a HoCo school delay or closing. And I think that's just not worth the fight and logistical headache to make that work out.
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Given the redistricting experiences I've watched, I'd imagine some very angry people with strange alliances of convenience. "Easiest" way would be to have the Glenelg HS and its feeder schools separated for these sort of events, but I've seen no major effort to try and do something like the Hereford zone for HoCo.
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Nope, we're uniters not dividers in HoCo!
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There will be a little ice out by Mt. Airy and Sykesville and my kids will get a "rain day" Thursday. Book it.
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For perspective, the last -20F or greater wintertime (DJFM) departure at BWI was Jan 31, 2019. We've had MANY +20F days in DJFM since then.
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Normal high/low the last week of December is like 45/28? Gives a mean daily temp of 36ish. So 25F off that is mean daily temp of 11F. I’ll take the over.
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lol this is funny
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Precise timing and orientation varies, but this s/w could produce some flurries or snow showers Saturday I’d think.
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This is the standard “it’s looking good but still 7+ days away and I want my snow now” angst
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Hard to say. As I’ve said, I think we need to clear this week’s storm before getting good clarity on next week. But even if a storm cuts, I think we have a solid chance of front end frozen with a good airmass in place. I get that, but I think we clearly have a window here starting next Sunday/Monday. Whether we score at the beginning, middle, end, or all points during that window I don’t know. But we’ll have chances I think.
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All sorts of action today and end of euro run is like a “Buy milk and TP!” warning sign, but we’re at a low point If this is a low point, than I’m more excited for next week.
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We miss our snow map pr0n, but I’m perfectly fine just seeing storm potential when it’s D12+.
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I'm about to give a presentation for work and I want to be like: "Can we get a 15min delay, DO YOU SEE what the 12z GFS is about to do!?!"
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My wife will go nuts if they have a day off school for a little ice in the trees…
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^even that snow depth map seems sketchy here, but clearly a trend to colder initial conditions in the last 24hrs. 2 rules of thumb to keep in mind in this sort of scenario: 1. Surface temps will stay cold longer with CAD 2. Low/mid levels will get eroded faster than expected.
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Hopefully by mid-January, our frustrated lack of patience will be a distant memory for everyone except @psuhoffman who will have total recall how many misses we had before scoring.
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I come to Chicago in December and all I get is lake effect drizzle followed by synoptic rain
