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WxUSAF

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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Euro also with a chilly airmass next week. Friday’s rain chances do seem mostly dead unfortunately.
  2. WxUSAF
    Probably but not sure
  3. WxUSAF
    I’m mostly a novice at this, but seems the -PDO numerical index is mostly driven by the very warm water off Japan, right? The SST map on our side of the dateline looks weakly +PDO to me with slight AN SSTs along the west coast and in the GoA.
  4. WxUSAF
    Warm/cool/warm pattern in North Atlantic SSTs is allegedly correlated with -NAO
  5. WxUSAF
    GEFS has flipped back once again to strong coupled +PNA/-EPO for Thanksgiving. The -EPO part has been quite consistent, but the pattern along the west coast has been flopping back and forth. Compare today and yesterdays 12z runs: GFS op and GGEM both have some very chilly airmasses for next week as well. Hopefully we can get the far N/W crew a slushy dusting out of this and save winter!
  6. WxUSAF
    The War on Unbridled Enthusiasm season starts earlier each year!
  7. WxUSAF
    35 at DCA. Maybe a chance in a week?
  8. WxUSAF
    28. Coldest of the season.
  9. WxUSAF
    Nino^
  10. WxUSAF
    Sports are stupid
  11. WxUSAF
    I’ve got a bad feeling about this…
  12. WxUSAF
    Defense is not winning today in this game is the top 2 defenses. Browns defense looks better but ravens offense still scoring on them. Ravens defense looks gassed.
  13. WxUSAF
    EPS drops the AO well negative at the end. I don’t hate it. As for my perfect thanksgiving weather, I’d say upper 40s/low 50s for high with some sun and lows in the upper 20s.
  14. WxUSAF
    Great job @40/70 Benchmark! I can say confidently that all mid-Atlantic snow weenies are hoping you’re right.
  15. WxUSAF
    DT with a helpful community note style response
  16. WxUSAF
    The “For You” tab for my Xwitter is this hilarious mix of random weather accounts that seem evenly divided by: ”Super Nino east coast winter torch inbound!” ”This Nino is different, looking cold and snowy for the east coast this winter!”
  17. WxUSAF
    Oh wow. I have some Cushwa pils in my fridge.
  18. WxUSAF
    Where is that??
  19. WxUSAF
    Eh...I think he was honking that Xmas time pretty darn hard last year for the east coast. Then when it turned into a cutter he got very belligerent, defensive, and turned into this punitive anti-weenie persona.
  20. WxUSAF
    43F and light rain. 0.15” so far. THIS is November weather!
  21. WxUSAF
    We’ve had several BN Novembers in the last decade. I think it’s maybe the one month that’s trending cooler in the most recent climate period? And that’s done and meant jack shit for our subsequent winters.
  22. WxUSAF
    Even JB is predicting a AN December I think so it won’t exactly be a shock. I don’t think we have a December 2015 redux with shorts weather to Hudson Bay though. My wag is that we get *some* snow and a chilly period (4-7 days) or two.
  23. WxUSAF
    Isn’t cankicking strat warming events and disruptions pretty par for the course? Background factors would support a SSW at some point this winter, but I’m game for vanilla below normal strat PV strength as well.
  24. WxUSAF
    Models won’t pick up on the Chicago cutter that gets our Christmas torch until 7-10 days out.
  25. WxUSAF
    Nice video winter summary by WBAL chief meteorologist Tom Tasselmeyer. https://www.wbaltv.com/article/winter-snow-forecast-baltimore-2023-2024/45791320
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