WxUSAF
-
Posts
25,308 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by WxUSAF
-
@psuhoffman, I agree as you know. But yeah, I’d hope the fresh 1040mb high pressure in a perfect spot could do SOMETHING useful. On a happier note, GEFS has a much more robust 50-50 feature and looks workable so far.
-
It 100% fits the seasonal trend
-
Oh jeez, GGEM on the cutter parade too all of a sudden.
-
1040 mb high in position f-cking A with a monster 50-50 and gfs is going to take this thing to Hudson Bay.
-
GGEM looks like 0z euro for the Sunday white rain threat. Most of the precip slides through VA.
-
GFS serving mashed potatoes for Sunday dinner
-
It’s close…maybe tomorrow am if it’s still a thing by then?
-
1200’ elevation in the Blue Ridge not worried about temps. Got to get that precip here!
-
It looked a lot like the 12z euro around D6-7, and then it just went crazy.
-
Seems like 2 general camps in the EPS. One stronger that rides the coast. One generally a bit weaker that’s more suppressed.
-
Tantalizingly close. I’d expect some nice hits in the ensembles. If things developed just as the euro showed, it would come down the precise track, strength, and timing of the PV and 50/50 type low in Canada. Gonna be awhile before that is sorted. Lot to like about this window.
-
No, it’s not cutting. Hr216 is pretty classic for us. Low near Memphis and big banana high over the top. Snow breaking out in the NC mountains.
-
Come on baby, daddy wants some digital blue…
-
Pretty nice at hr198…can the euro find a way to cut it to Buffalo with a nearly 1050mb high over top and the PV in Quebec?
-
Euro has flurries and sprinkles for this weekend, but I’m definitely intrigued so far for our D9-10 window. Storm developing in the Rockies at hr174 with a good HP overtop and a piece is the trop PV sliding through eastern Canada.
-
Agreed. The D8-15 ensembles have been pretty good this year at broad strokes (which is what they’re for). I’d mostly just say that another torch period in late January doesn’t mean winters over because no pattern has locked in very long for 2+ months. Not sure why that would suddenly change. But, seeing that look in late January does increase the urgency to get some snow beforehand.
-
GEFS does look pretty nice for the 13-14th window. Seems like more of a slider/redeveloper on the means, but that could still give us some snow as long as it’s not squashed to myrtle beach like the GGEM.
-
GFS seems completely on an island with the evolution early next week, and we’ve seen how that’s gone for the gfs so far this season. But GGEM also has a potent northern stream shortwave bring in a legit respectable airmass ahead of anything late next week. But that squashes everything. Definitely a lot going on…hopefully we can get something.
-
GFS and GGEM both give some slushy accumulation north of DC over the weekend.
-
Got to pass 01-02 before moving onto bigger and better things!
-
Yeah, airmass is rough. Euro has a workable airmass coming in as the storm develops. GGEM looks like April at 850mb.
-
Euro, GGEM, and GEFS all have a pretty similar look D8-9 with a developing storm in the Plains, brief PNA spike, and “some” high pressure nosing into the Lakes and northeast. This is the time period that has been advertised for several days already.
-
Euro going the extra mile to piss us off. Better cold push, so shred that wave to nothing and wait for the cold to retreat before bringing in the precipitation.
-
Rather large changes for the weekend event on the euro. We’ll see where it goes.
-
Ah, didn’t realize that.
