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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    At different times today I’ve been north, south, east, and west of the heavy bands
  2. WxUSAF
    I can haz blob??
  3. WxUSAF
    Still true but getting a tropical downpour at work in Greenbelt
  4. WxUSAF
    Showers seem incapable of crossing the fall line lol
  5. WxUSAF
    Heavy precip meso issued for most of the area
  6. WxUSAF
    East side is definitely more variable. But 3k NAM is not a tropical model…
  7. WxUSAF
    @midatlanticweather does WPC break it down by day? Euro has been very bullish on rain late today through tomorrow, and that’s a significant fraction of total rain for those of us east of the mountains. Curious what WPC thinks of that. @MillvilleWx?
  8. WxUSAF
    0z euro remains a deluge for all
  9. WxUSAF
    Wow, storms evaporated on my doorstep last night. 0.01” lol
  10. WxUSAF
    That line of storms between the other two area of storms ripped open like a zipper in minutes. Very cool radar presentation. Think DC-north gets some nocturnal action (hi RR).
  11. WxUSAF
    Euro is generally 3-6”, but a few bust/boom spots here and there. Ride up the Apps so it’s a deluge for Shenandoah valley and Blue Ridge.
  12. WxUSAF
    And for a lot of us, the rain’s spread out from this evening through late Friday. So that would reduce flooding risks and help it soak in. Euro really emphasizes the rain tomorrow and Thursday with onshore flow focused along the front through our area.
  13. WxUSAF
    Gfs slowly coming in line with other guidance
  14. WxUSAF
  15. WxUSAF
    0z euro washes Stephen’s City away.
  16. WxUSAF
    Happy hour gfs still with the big left turn
  17. WxUSAF
    Euro takes what’s left of Debby over Annapolis as a 999mb low early Saturday.
  18. WxUSAF
    Depending on the track, I could envision how the metro area is a relative minimum with upslope enhancement in the mountains and more precipitation with the storm center to the southeast.
  19. WxUSAF
    GFS pushes the front through tomorrow and Wednesday. Also gives us decent rain/storms with the front. This makes Debby wander back west instead of more due north like other guidance. The other guidance doesn’t push the front through anymore, and Debby’s able to track north.
  20. WxUSAF
    5-10” possible with good ratios??
  21. WxUSAF
    6z WPC map is 3-6” for the entire subforum
  22. WxUSAF
    Even gfs pulls a lot of moisture up the front though.
  23. WxUSAF
  24. WxUSAF
    Nearly 1” of rain in a short time from that tiny storm! Juicy airmass!
  25. WxUSAF
    12z WPC update still favors a very rainy week
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