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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    I saw the euro before this and was kinda confused
  2. WxUSAF
    Don’t know if we go there yet, but more zero value added posts will go away?
  3. WxUSAF
    Happy happy hour!
  4. WxUSAF
    I think you’re on the right track @psuhoffman. Our big dogs often don’t have a monster PNA ridge, the biggest anomalies are the NAO/AO ridging usually. So if that shortwave you’ve indicated rolls east with the ridge behind it…it would look like a lot of our KU patterns.
  5. WxUSAF
    What’s nice to see is that the guidance is getting more uniform with a respectable high and confluence to our north. Makes the airmass much less marginal heading into the weekend. Euro has lows in the low 20s Friday morning with dews in the low-mid 10s. Mid 20s Saturday morning. @clskinsfan mentioned this above. Differences in the solutions now seem more on how the 2 shortwaves interact.
  6. WxUSAF
    Some OH valley low still in this run vs almost 100% coastal low at 0z. Hence warmer for coastal plain areas.
  7. WxUSAF
    41 and some sprinkles in Columbia
  8. WxUSAF
    Lucky for us in the mid-Atlantic, our freakouts automatically regenerate so we can’t run out
  9. WxUSAF
    I agree to 72 hours or so, but there also is a tendency for follow the leader with the ops and ensembles lately. Maybe someone like @high risk or @dtk can speak to studies of how nondispersive they seem to be in recent years.
  10. WxUSAF
    Thanks stupid apple weather app for saying there’s a ridiculous 80% chance of snow Sunday, so I have to listen to my kids pester me all week.
  11. WxUSAF
    This is not a HECS setup by any means. Just isn't. Too progressive, not deep enough, etc. Could be a very nice event for someone, certainly the best in literally years, but it's not a HECS.
  12. WxUSAF
    I like seeing wider goalposts honestly. The more paths to some sort of event the better. Meanwhile GGEM goes the opposite direction and phases it in much earlier and hence a more inland track and just rain for the 95 corridor.
  13. WxUSAF
    Interesting...it doesn't quite phase all the way unlike previous runs. Close, but not quite.
  14. WxUSAF
    I agree with Webb and @psuhoffman here that this thing is likely to inch northward in the last 72-96 hours.
  15. WxUSAF
    Love seeing northern stream energy phasing in AND losing the OH Valley low signature.
  16. WxUSAF
    We’re so back!
  17. WxUSAF
    But bad trends on D11-13. BAMwx got their finger in the flame emoji
  18. WxUSAF
    Lol I’m not staying up for the GEFS
  19. WxUSAF
    Thatsthejoke.gif
  20. WxUSAF
    GFS trending to the icon
  21. WxUSAF
    Glad I stayed up for the GFS
  22. WxUSAF
    It’s one of the few nights per year where I’ll actually be up for the 0z gfs. It better be good.
  23. WxUSAF
    What are the stats on winters where you get to 20” before BWI has anything measurable?
  24. WxUSAF
    I think Tomer must read Amwx lol
  25. WxUSAF
    For now I’m very glad they can rest starters next week. I’ll panic about it in 3 weeks lol
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