WxUSAF

Narrowed a bit. GGEM still has low 0s widespread. Euro is mid 10s. GFS has some down bit to upper 10s-mid 20s.

I was going to check some of the CIPS analogs so this is nice to see. Early December analogs often were a bunch of traces…which is what we got.

WBAL just reported your wrong number!

Drove from Columbia to Bel Air for non-snow non-holiday reasons. All rain until about the Baltimore/Harford county line where snow started mixing in. Full snow about 1mi north of 95 in HarCo. Accumulation another 1mi past that. 33 in bel air per car thermometer with probably about 0.5”.

I think NYE is likely too early by 3-6 days for any real chance. Jan 3-6 is the window to keep an eye on IMO.

Get that spotter report in!

You love to see it from @griteater

Actually like GEFS and EPS a bit more, but i wouldn’t kick the GEPS out of bed. For D15, they all agree very well with the major features.

Euro op kinda had my scenario from yesterday with a cutter (although it wasn’t a full on cutter) turn into a confluence source and put a follow on storm on a good track.

Was just coming to post. EPS agrees. Pattern has lots of potential for first weekend in January. Euro op also was showing potential even earlier.

Yeah duration of warm ups have been modest. Although amplitude of warmups still outdoes the cold. 3 airports all just barely BN for the month.

Well you lucky bastards fell backasswards into something nice, didn’t you? Enjoy!

It will be AN after Xmas, but doesn’t seem like a real multi day torch for our area. If we have a really warm day it’s probably with a cutter and fairly short lived.

Wife reports beautiful fluffy flakes in Baltimore. I can report sadness in Columbia.