WxUSAF

First batch of air fryer wings cooking right now. Prepping ham and cheese sliders as well. Plus usual chips+queso+salsa, etc.

March 15 to April 15 is like literally the only time of the year where I enjoy AN temps lol

Yeah. Not sure on letter grade personally. But it certainly feels like we “had winter”. Gimme a warning level event next weekend, one more modest event later, and keep it generally BN through the end of the month. Then it can be in the 80s all of March.

In totality I think the 12z suite is a win

Deep winter weekend, no way to argue that, but the extreme temp forecasts definitely underperformed.

We’ve been in worse positions

So GFS is a cutter, Euro AI is almost perfect, and Op Euro is a MECS for Atlanta.

Eating up all the frozen slop the Euro AI keeps serving every 6 hours

Yea we need the lead wave to be near enough to generate sufficient confluence to force our potential storm underneath us and keep our airmass intact. With a big -PNA we’re relying on the Atlantic side.

BWI gusted to 50 kts/57.5mph

Anybody know if BWI reported any measurable snow? I saw DCA had 0.1” and IAD 0.3”.

I'm declaring redemption for WWAW with this call

You all have been paying more attention to this than I, but it seems there's an interesting difference between the physics-based models and the AI models in the overnight runs. Physics-models all have a weak northern stream shortwave pop a low that gives some snow to VA (again...) around Friday. Then they sort of shred the Baja low and don't bring it out coherently. AI models don't have that weak northern stream s/w that gives VA snow on Friday and bring the Baja low out more coherently, especially Euro AI.

2/6-7: 0.5" 14.3" season total Winter 2023-24 total was 14.2". Winter 2024-25 total was 14.5".

Looks like I got hit pretty flush with the snow along the Arctic front based on radar. But it’s all blown away…