https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0059.html
Mesoscale Discussion 0059
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1157 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Areas affected...northeast Georgia...western South Carolina...and
parts of western North Carolina
Concerning...Freezing rain
Valid 251757Z - 252200Z
SUMMARY...Heavy freezing rain is expected between 19Z and 23Z this
afternoon.
DISCUSSION...Persistent cold air damming persists in the lee of the
Appalachians and into northern Georgia. An expansive area of
stratiform rain will overspread this cold air this afternoon and
result in moderate to heavy freezing rain.
Heavy precipitation rates will likely warm temperatures a few
degrees which may limit freezing rain efficiency in areas that are
currently 31-32F. However, where temperatures are currently in the
20s, northeast of Atlanta and eastward, expect below freezing
temperatures to persist within the wedge. Additionally, a meso-low,
analyzed on the 17Z surface chart in east-central Alabama, will move
east into central Georgia which will alleviate any chance for
erosion of the cold wedge and perhaps reinforce the westerly flow
across northern Georgia.
As a result, moderate to heavy precipitation with temperatures in
the mid to upper 20s will result in significant ice accumulation
between 19Z and 23Z from northeast Georgia into western South
Carolina and into portions of southeast North Carolina. Given the
expectation for relatively efficient ice accretion and QPF of 0.5 to
0.7 inches, expect another 0.25" to 0.5" of ice accretion this
afternoon and early evening.