strongwxnc

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A story as old as Time. .

Cuts Rutherford county in half .

Need to see how the high pressure works down south out of the north land. It is strong which ='s better press. Or not. Either way, crazy system to track.

Best site for current upper levels in upper Canada ? Would love to track this high pressure.

Big jump at 18.. the ride continues .

Camel non filter wides! .

Still don’t know the battle lines. Going to be a long few days. But damn it’s nice to look at ! Someone getting buried for sure. .

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Whatever falls is gonna be around for a couple of days. .

Yup and this statement and its been a while since Warning criteria was met around for most. All this to say, confidence on p-types remains low but confidence of getting warning criteria snow/sleet and/or ice accumulations is increasing.

Woof. All I have to say right now.

100% yes. The movement north is not a big concern like stated. it will be the upper level warmth base on strength of the LP moving through. Lots to be ironed out for sure.

Options on the table: AFD 6:22 GSP Key message 4: A potential winter storm system could affect the area this weekend but details remain highly uncertain. The bigger story for the forecast continues to be the potential for a winter storm to sweep across a wide swath of the south, from the central CONUS to the Carolinas. What we know at this point is a signal in model guidance has pointed to a strong continental polar (cP) air mass spilling into the central portion of the U.S. and spreading eastward. Meanwhile, moisture appears to stretch over the south and southeast ahead of the frontal boundary. Somewhere along this frontal boundary, wintry precipitation will likely form. Now, this is where the uncertainty comes into play as there are many factors that will change and directly influence this system for our area. The primary factor being the location of the transition zone from snow to a wintry mix, involving sleet and ice. Current model guidance from the GFS has shifted the transition zone further north, bringing the potential for more of an ice event than snow. The EURO keeps the snow as the primary p-type. Many of the GEFS members show a mix of ice and snow. The main point is that yes, the model guidance is signaling for a potential winter storm stretching over the weekend. There is also the possibility for the area of high pressure to extend further south, which also could cutoff precipitation chances entirely. It`s a low chance, but still in the realm if possibilities. But, despite these forecast tools, there is still much uncertainty to where the transition zone sets up, which directly impacts how much snow vs ice vs nothing there could be. Another factor increasing confidence in this potential winter storm is the cold air that is expected to be in place. Unlike systems recently where there was a chance for snow, the environment lacked the cold air required for any wintry precip to develop. This is looking to not be the case for this potential event. Currently, the NBM has increased probabilities of accumulations that could bring about warnings for snow (40%) and ice (35%). So, overall, there is a strong signal for a possible winter storm that could impact the area over the weekend, but details on snow/ice/sleet remain unclear this far out.

My clocks bangs at 4:10am for work. Sleep is a must. Still in the face of great trends and stability today still just along for the ride. Get me to Thursday please. LOL Also @BooneWX that is a crazy out look you posted from GSP. Good Lawd!