John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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The Euro AI has a big Tennessee/North Carolina snowstorm in roughly the same time frame the OP models have been showing it mainly along the Ohio River in Kentucky and adjacent states to the north.
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Historic Tennessee Valley Cold, Snow, and Ice Events
John1122 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
There's still creek ice here, but the last of the snow melted off today. Snow on the ground for 24 days in a row here. Coldest January since 1988 East of the Mississippi. Definitely historic for it's length of cold. No record cold, no record shows unfortunately. -
It was in phase 3 when that storm hit.
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GFS vs Euro
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The Euro took the system it showed at 12z, suppressed it and managed to snow in Alabama and the Eastern Carolinas. Then a clipper falls apart as it reaches here. Sound familiar?
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Temps are much lower tonight vs forecast again. Forecast low was 34 imby, it's 27 currently.
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Still in the Euro vs GFS battle. The GFS keeps extending the warmth. The Euro is open to giving us some winter after February 8th/9th.
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Peak of it here about 45 minutes ago.
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Around an inch here but the precip has now dropped south of me. 33.4 degrees.
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More and more snow mixing in now. The temperature 500 feet above me has dropped 3 degrees in the last hour.
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850s are below freezing above me and I'm at 34 degrees, but there's a layer around 925 that's nearly 40 degrees, so it's mostly rain here so far, with a few flakes making it down.
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35 degrees here with a very light snow/rain mix.
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Same here. It's down to 37 here after a high of 47.
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North facing areas on my way home. I think things will stick if we can get snow and not rain.
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I think ground temps are probably cold enough to stick, especially in the mountains around here.
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Did MRX really say that surfaces are too warm for anything but grassy accumulations because of the last two days? It was 12 degrees yesterday morning and 19 this morning. I still have snow on the ground and sides of the road in shady spots.
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Some of the short range models are ticking up. The NBM isn't yet and that's what MRX uses basically exclusively.
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Hopefully the EPS is correct in how it's handling the Pacific. It's our path back to winter after the first 7-10 days of February are warm and wet.
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This was the heaviest of the snow yesterday morning and why school got called.
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Looking back here in the last 100ish years, we never had a January that was more than -8 that had less than 16 inches of snow. I'm at 9.5 for the month, precip is well BN.
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A winter observation, we didn't get nearly as much snow as we normally should've for a January that's -10ish. I mean not even 50 percent of what a January like that normally brings. My electric bill came today and it's 200 percent of normal. So there's that.
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The director of school's statement here literally read "As completely unexpected snow has developed, we are canceling schools for the remainder of the day." All modeling had 1/2 to 1 inch in the area. JKL put out an SPS about it last night and put it in their forecast. MRX didn't put anything out and used the flurries wording. When they put those products out they are sent to County EMAs who share them. MRX put out an SPS after schools were closed here. Not sure why they chose to ignore modeling.
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The AI is toasty, some of us may make a run at 80 in the southern areas of the forum per some of it's runs.
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Pretty good quarters and nickels flying out there currently.
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MRX did put out a SPS after schools were already closed here. Around 1/2 inch fell but it instantly covered roads.
