
John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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I don't know if there's any correlation but off the top of my head, winters are not all that memorable for snow lovers after very wet summers. 89 was a wet summer and we had the frigid December but the rest of winter was blah. Last year was exceptionally wet, also blah winter if you weren't close to the NC border and it wasn't great for people there, just better than for the rest of us. These days it seems like adjusting expectations downward regarding snow/ice/cold works much better than looking at anything in the past. Past analogs for last year were pretty bullish, but we fell in the 25 percent of the analogs where winter wasn't memorable, rather than the 75 percent that it was. My particular area used to be pretty steady in that we'd get 10+ inches every year, always at least one solid 4-6 inch snowfall. Now we are in boom/bust for the last 15 years or so. We either get 25+ inches or less than 10 without a lot of middle ground. I just have to go with that we are in a new climate reality and that the past doesn't reflect the future as much as it once might've.
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- grieving winter
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It has rained here at least some every day in July except one, including 2.4 inches today. Already at 4.56 inches for the month. It's like living in Central Florida.
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It's stormed 3 of the first 4 days of July so far, so the wet pattern seems to be holding tight. The cloud to ground lighting has been intense the last few days, started multiple fires.
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Well no sooner do I post that total and think that's it for June, a storm drops out of Kentucky and it's coming a downpour here.
- 117 replies
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- grieving winter
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Well, going to finish the month at 16.84 inches of rain. Looking typically hot and humid for the next week, but at least days are getting shorter. Seems like after 4th of July week summer fades fast these days, maybe not weather wise, but football related things kick into high gear and I can take the heat better with football going.
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- grieving winter
- hoping for sunshine
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Almost non moving thunderstorm over Campbell County for the last 3 hours. Wide spread power outages again and more flooding. 3-4 inches of rain in the last few hours over parts of the area. Been raining heavily here for over 2 hours as well. Right at 2 inches of rain, closing in on 17 inches for June.
- 117 replies
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- grieving winter
- hoping for sunshine
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Definitely juice for the storms that are starting to pop out there. Currently 80 degrees with a DP of 73. Tornado warning popped in Eastern Ky.
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Really hope we can catch a break with the storms tomorrow. This has been the year of downed trees. Ground is extra saturated from non-stop rain and tree loss is increased significantly in these severe thunderstorms.
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About 57 inches a year. Last year we had 76.45 inches which is the most I've seen here. My grandfather recorded 75.5 in 1954. Currently on pace for around 90-95 this year unless things slow down. Already closing in on 50 inches for 2019.
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- grieving winter
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Another inch in the rain gauge from the storm last night and the storms today. 14.30 inches so far in June.
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- grieving winter
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Powerful storms here and I imagine across the area. Virtually all of Campbell Co is without power right now. Trees are down everywhere. One fell on a car as it was driving. Just a fast moving bull dozer. It made it across the county in 10 minutes.
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Saw a video of the Rutledge Pike area, looked like a rain wrapped tornado there. Extremely strong rotation for sure.
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Crazy how rainy this year is so far. I'm sitting here at 13+ inches for June as the rain pounds down outside right now. It was already the wettest winter into spring on record for most of us. I am approaching 45 inches for the year already. We are either going to break a record or have a drought at this rate, not much middle ground.
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Managed to bottom out at 44 degrees this morning. Must have gotten a chill in my sleep because I dreamed it was snowing. Had several people say they turned their heat on and many were wearing jackets.
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Really can't beat this on a bright sunny day at 5:00 pm in Mid June.
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More training extremely heavy rains going right now over the area. Around 1 inch of rain in the last hour with some heavy echos still to come. First was was just very heavy rain about 45 minutes ago, current wave is heavy rain with thunder.
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- grieving winter
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It has went from early mid 90s a few weeks ago to being 59 with rain today at 1 in the afternoon the week before solar summer begins.
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Another 1.5 inches here tonight. Over 10 for the last 5 days in the area. The sheer volume of flood damage is unbelievable. Homes underwater, buildings swept away, roads shredded, giant ditches opened up in yards. Water has been off for days in areas, as has power. Large trees both blown down and washed down. Thousands of tons of mud and debris are every where. Guardrails 15-20 feet above the level of creeks along sides of roads are clogged with logs. There are some large steep ridges that run parallel to the Cumberland Mountains in Campbell County. The bottoms of those ridges were destroyed by the runoff. I drove past a few front yards today that had ditches 4-5 feet wide and 8-10 feet deep in them. It looked like someone came in with a track hoe and just ripped it up. I saw one estimate that 7.4 inches of rain fell in 2 hours over those ridge tops.
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This is crazy. It's rained 6-8 inches over the last 6 hours or so.
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MRX issued a flood advisory, needed a flash flood warning. The worst flash flooding I've seen in 20 years is ongoing here. It rained 3 inches in an hour. Most of Campbell County is having major issues right now. It slacked off a bit but heavy rain has returned.
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Earth shaking thunderstorm has been parked over my area just dumping down rain. Approaching 4.5 inches of rain for the event so far with possibly 2-4+ more to go by Monday.
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Picked up 1.4 inches of rain on day one of the rainy pattern. Will see what we can add today and through the weekend.
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Spring/Summer 2019 medium to long range discussion.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It was mid-summer hot today, I already dread the rest of summer and am looking for that first big cold front of early fall. -
Spring/Summer 2019 medium to long range discussion.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The NASA climate scientist whose panel I attended last year said the solar cycles were looking like the lowest activity both at peak and minimum since those that happened during the Little Ice Age. She said the current downward peak would likely happen in Winter 2019-20. I think she said there were 50 years of minimums like this in a row during the time of the LIA from roughly 1650-1700. She said we are basically in a 20 year valley right now. The Little Ice Age was started most likely via volcanic eruptions but possibly the minimal solar activity extended it. Apparently low sunspots should produce colder winter in Northern Europe, and the continental U.S. but warmer than average in Southern Europe/Canada/Greenland. We see that last year the low activity did nothing for winter/cold here as there are exceptions to almost every weather rule it seems. -
Spring/Summer 2019 medium to long range discussion.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
One last shot at glory??