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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    Blanks me, after last year I wouldn't be surprised.
  2. John1122
    Looks like the mix is close to AMZ and not far from Jax.
  3. John1122
    Let us know what temp you see mixing/snow and if you get any sleet.
  4. John1122
    December 1954 here was cold for the 1st 20 days of the month and AN the last 10 days. It snowed on 7 different days, the biggest the 18th and 19th with 3.75 inches total for the month.
  5. John1122
    Temp has fallen from 56 to 51 in the last 15 minutes.
  6. John1122
    What is your temp, how fast is it falling? Cold has an easier time spilling in west of the Plateau.
  7. John1122
    For later winter purposes, I'm not terribly against the first two weeks of December being seasonable or slightly AN.
  8. John1122
    Kind of surprised, MRX went with a WWA for the Plateau, SWVA, and the mountains. I didn't think all those areas would land one and am surprised Knox to Tri didn't if the other areas were getting one.
  9. John1122
    Euro held pretty steady, the models are loving Knox-Sevier Co. GFS and Euro are 4-6 inches in those areas.
  10. John1122
    NAM 3k had been by far the most bearish model, even it had a decent uptick with some 3+ inch bands in the middle valley areas north of Nashville.
  11. John1122
    I don't blame MRX either, this would be an unusual event to have that much post frontal snow, everything they mention in AFD is about rapid drying and maybe 2-3 hours of snowfall at best. I guess either the models will blink tomorrow or MRX may have to up totals just in case. I suspect ultimately a winter weather advisory for the Smokies/Wise/NE Mountains, SPS otherwise.
  12. John1122
    Still heavy snow in the eastern areas at 39.
  13. John1122
    The 21z 39 hour RAP is going bonkers forum wide.
  14. John1122
    November to date. My house -9 Crossville -8.9 London, KY -9.6 Memphis -9.3 Nashville -7.6 Jackson, Tn -9.8 Huntsville, Al -8.4 Oak Ridge -6.7 Tazewell -6.1 Chattanooga -6 Tri - 7.1 Knox -7.8 Abingdon, Va -6 Cookeville -8.8 Murfreesboro -10.1 (suspect a data issue as it shows Murfreesboro with a high of only 34 on the 4th, other stations have a high in the upper 50s that day in the mid state.) Generally the forum area is -6 to -9 for the month to date so far. It should go down even more with the incoming cold blast. We may finish the first half of the month at -10 or lower.
  15. John1122
    Just saw this thread had opened. MRX basically going with 1/2 inch or less below 2500 right now.
  16. John1122
    RGEM is healthy through the end of its run. Still snowing in the eastern areas at the end of the run with this down.
  17. John1122
    MRX is seemingly tossing most modeling and going with 1/2 inch below 2500 ft on the Plateau, Central Valley and NE Tn. Can't really blame them. Models seem to often overdo post frontal moisture.
  18. John1122
    Morning disco from MRX. Hopefully the change over is fast, this is a major cold air mass and they mention possible record lows Wednesday morning. My current point forecast is for a low of 28 with a high of 30 on Tuesday with "less than an inch" wording. Which I suspect will probably be correct.
  19. John1122
    Starting to creep into the RGEM range. The snow line is basically north of 40 and to the edge western edge of the plateau by 48 hours. Sleeting/freezing rain event in n Miss/ sw Tn per the RGEM at 48. If the timing stays consistent and there is the advertised post-frontal precip the models are playing out, I figure the night time hours will aid Mid and Western areas with sticking possibilities.
  20. John1122
    The NAM really let it ride for the mid-state with 2-4 inches, a good portion of the forum area sees 1-2 inches outside the midstate. I'd guess maybe 1/2 to 1/3rd of it will stick on non-raised surfaces if it come to pass.
  21. John1122
    Euro is healthy again for almost the entire forum area.
  22. John1122
    We pull it off sometimes too, but it's not common by any means. Especially more than a dusting.
  23. John1122
    The Euro/GFS are insistent that a lot of the forum area will get an inch or more of snow in the Monday Night/Tuesday timeframe. The Euro shows 1 inch from near Memphis, to Chattanooga and North. Euro and GFS are really keying on the Knox to Tri area for 1.5-3 inches.
  24. John1122
    Not surprisingly, the Euro is a no-go for the longer range event, but most models are now spitting out 3/4ths to 1.5 inches over a pretty large section of the forum depending on the model. The Euro is Eastern areas, GFS Nashville west along and north of 40. NAM gets Alabama in on the action.
  25. John1122
    Only hit 41 this afternoon. Temp nosed down quickly once the sun set. Down to 31 now.
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