John1122

We have the historic snow and ice events thread down the page!

The Euro AI crept NW again at 12z. 4+ for a lot of East TN that run. 2-3 for the Mid-State.

It's one of the most severe winter storms the Tennessee Valley ever saw. It stretched back into West Tennessee more so than the blizzard. That event and '85 were the times I've seen -20s imby.

Unfortunately, that's what happened in 2018. Gulf coast snow while we were dry and then a nice juicy rainer as soon as the cold unlocked. In December 1982 it did that three times. Cutter, below zero cold with flurries, then cutter, back below zero etc.

The next 10 days will see this winter go down as either epic, or an epic disappointment. We basically have all our chips in and a face card showing, but so does the dealer. Do we flip an ace? Do we go bust?

The Euro has 3 systems that track along the Gulf but are mostly suppressed still. Its in bed with the Canadian in that the Canadian had a few waves but obviously less suppressed than the Euro.

The Euro is just firing shot after shot.

Feb 2nd-4th 1996 is as close as we've come to it in January in my memory. It's actually fairly rare to get more than 12 inches in a single January storm. Those seem to come more in February and even March or November.

There were 14-foot drifts here during the blizzard of '93. I used to have the local paper that showed houses with snow over the roof that was published two weeks after the blizzard. I still have the paper from a few days after, when a woman from Ohio talks about having moved here recently and she had to go to a neighbors house after her electric went out during the storm and that she had to walk across snow up to her shoulders to get across the highway to their house. It's still the heaviest snow I've ever seen. Flakes the size of dimes during the day, and we got 11 inches of snow in one 3 hour period from around 8am til 11 am.

The Canadian looks like it's paying double.

The Euro AI has another storm 288-300 that's bigger for the west side areas. Another that loses steam as it heads east.

There was an uptick for Tennessee that run on the GEFS. One thing about all the op runs, when they hit, they are monster storms. Historical even.

06 GFS amped up and hit hard for most of the forum. Nasty ice storm 81 corridor unfortunately. I assume due to downslope warming because it's trying to ice in NE areas still as the storm runs up 95 in NC. Such a monster the freezing rain areas end up with 10 inches of snow. Nearly 20 on the Plateau.

The 18z Euro would have likely looked like a blend of the Canadian and UKIE. It's suppressed for wave two again this run. The Sunday system it brings 1 to 2 inches for parts of the area.

The snow just gets to Tennessee at the end of the UKIE run at 168, at 162 it hadn’t made it yet, on the Canadian it snowed to hour 192 or 198. I belive we'd see a bigger/better N/NW side with the path it takes.

Very interested in the Euro now. That UKIE run isn't bad at this lead.

Insane.

It's gangbusters. It took the GFS to school with the last system.

The GFS just got strung out like the storm that just passed. Dumped all over Texas and then just fizzled as it moved East.

The Canadian is similar to the ICON with the weekend system. GFS wants nothing to do with it really.

The GFS gets a 1060 down to Northern Colorado that run.

Gonna be better than 18z was but not quite gonna make it here I don't think.

GFS is much more north/amped this run. Gonna see if it's enough soon. 1048 hp in southern Missouri pressing on it.

ICON for the Sunday system. It's suppressed still mid-week.

School hasn't been in session here since before Christmas and I honestly see no way for melting to occur before Friday during the day really.