John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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Got an alert that snow was going to start here at 4am. Future radar shows it on twc. Currently 32 degrees.
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Ended up with a dusting overnight.
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Heavy snow shower out there currently. 32 degrees.
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Down to 33 now with nickels and quarters coming in waves that last a few minutes.
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Yes. It's 36 degrees with snow/graupel.
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Models have been bulls-eyeing your area for a few days now.
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Thank you, it could've been worse. There were a few gusts that literally vibrated my floor/walls.
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My back porch roof lifted off enough to need replacing and there's half a dozen trees down. I usually don't get winds as bad as other areas but when they are from the due south there's a gap in the mountain that it really roars through. Last night they were in the perfect direction for that.
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I'm honestly not sure if my roof is going to make it. My back porch roof is probably going to be needing replaced for sure. It calmed down some between 8 and 10 but it's ramped back up to full blast now. An 80 foot pine is down in my lower yard already. I'm most stunned my power is on. I guess the last big wind event may have cleaned out all the loose trees.
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I'm up to house shaking status on the wind front now. My peak gust has been 61mph.
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I'm sustained S at 25 with a 50mph gust in the 5 o'clock hour.
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The wind is intense here. It's been raining down tree limbs all day.
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The Euro has widespread 20s towards next weekend. If this were early to mid April most would be done with them, but I expect freeze threats until at least then.
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The GFS joined the Euro with some potential snowy hi-jinks to welcome met spring. As was noted, virtually all decent March/April snows over the last 50 years featured a cooperative or at least non-hostile pacific and MJO in Phase 2/3. It looks like we may be hanging out in 2 around the time the snowfall is showing up on the models.
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In March of 75 we'd had a 2.5 inch snow on the 2nd/3rd. A potent cold front rolled through with rain to snow. It was 28/13 here on the 3rd. I know SWVa had 3 inches or so from that one too. We were in the teens several mornings in a row leading into the 10th but warm in the afternoons. It was an extremely wet month. We had over 13 inches of precipitation in March of '75. 6.2 inches of that fell in a couple of days right after the 5.5 inches of snow that fell on the 10th.
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It doesn't surprise me that most spring events were favorable in the Pacific. It's hard to get cold enough here in spring or fall for snow without the Pac blocking driving the cold into the region.
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Looks increasingly like winter is over outside of the mountains. After tonight we don't go below freezing again to close February and on my long range, only get below it on March 6th over the next 10 days. Hopefully spring doesn't roller coaster and cause early blooming/late freezes. Maybe winter 2025-26 won't be one of missed opportunity. This wasn't a disaster winter, I had snow on the ground and in the air fairly often. Just a "what could've been" winter. Shows you that no matter how perfect the 500mb level aligns, it's still hard to get true snowstorms in our region in the 2000s.
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Made it to 0 this morning. Some below 0 showed up in Northern Scott County and Southern Kentucky.
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We still got some ways to go, but normally with the blocking we've had and temperature departures I'd end winter between 30 and 40 inches. We've rarely had such favorable blocking for as long as we did in January. Normally that 8-10 inch Gulf storm would have been a 12-18 inch storm here.
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Already down to 5 degrees. May get below 0 tonight. A couple of stations are down even lower already.
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Hopefully we get one more good event for the region before winter ends. The GFS has been back and forth between a widespread event and the mountains getting it. It's a rare winter that we get a second shot after such an epic warm up, but usually the rare times the cold returns in late February or early March we tend to score to some extent. Nothing big for mby this winter (6+ inch even imo) but some nickels, dimes and quarters has me at 16 inches on the season. Not great for the level of cold and duration we had compared to past winters with so much cold, but way better than those wall to wall warm winters where we get lucky to get a couple of 2 inchers. All in all, winters in the 2020s have been decent so far with only one real stinker in the first half of the decade.
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Got 1.2 inches of new snow from this, 4.8 total. The RGEM pretty much hit this one almost spot on.
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Not sure how long it'll last but it's snowing as hard as it was last night at the peak of things.
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18 degrees, no returns showing up on radar here but it's started snowing. Looks like a few heavier bands heading this way if they hold together.
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It's the high ratio powder that evaporates as soon as a sunbeam hits it but it's fun while it's happening.
