John1122

Much to my surprise, it's been snowing and we have a fresh dusting. I didn't even think to look until I saw the radar at the NWS mrx page showing some light returns.

Looks like a cool/cold rain for us.

Florida's record snowfall is in tatters. When the models show climatologically unlikely things here, forget it. When they do along the gulf, buy the bread and milk.

Friend in Mobile Alabama sent me this. They live in Mobile because they hate snow/cold.

Honestly, luck and timing are always needed here. We are the world capitol of ice box cold and warm up to rain events. I've also always found it amazing that it snows regularly in places where it's well below zero but it's almost impossible to get snow to fall here in the teens, as storms get suppressed 1000 miles south when that happens here. While most anything can happen, historically, after these long cold shots, winter is essentially over when the pattern flips. It flipped in early Feb 1977 and we got up to 80 before the month was over. 2018 we had a legit February heat wave. Knoxville didn't even get below freezing from Feb 10th through the 28th and there were more days in the 80s for highs than 30s for lows. Feb '96 was the same. Mid 80s by late month after -20 imby early month. February 1985 fought back for us, but it's the least common path after a very BN January.

December 2017 and January 2018 it happened. December snow went from Texas and Louisiana across Miss, Alabama, Georgia and the Carolinas. 2018 I believe it went more along the gulf coast. I know Southern Miss and Alabama got 2-4 inches. Then there was another event from NE Florida up the Georgia and Carolina coasts. Parts of the Texas gulf coast got over 12 inches that winter, so did parts of Georgia.

Pretty much a nightmare for winter lovers here. In the last 7 years there are areas of the Gulf Coast that have received more snow than parts of Tennessee. Chattanooga has officially had right at 10 inches of snow total since 2016. By the time this is over Baton Rouge will have had more snow than Chattanooga over that time span and maybe more than Knoxville has officially record at TYS since then. Looking back on years where Baton Rouge had record snows, their all-time record was in 1895 Knoxville got 25 inches that month, including around 7 inches when Baton Rouge set their record. Their second biggest snowfall, Knoxville had 6 inches the same day. Their third biggest, Knoxville had 9 inches the same day. Their 4th biggest was Dec 2017, when we got missed to the south, and now we are getting missed to the south again.

The Sunday cutter on the Euro is now more of a Sunday night slider that puts down a little light snow for parts of the forum area.

GFS is back to the stalled front, wave develops and snows on the area in about a week.

Looks like our low is going to bust unless it clouds up before midnight. I was supposed to get down to 9 tonight and it's already down to 7.

It would be alot easier to stomach the heating bills with a big snow storm but at least there's some snow around out there.

My forecast had snow but now mrx says freezing rain.

Can't believe it at this lead, (or really any outside 4 days) but the Euro welcomed in February with a big winter storm for the East half of the area.

The models keep attempting to have a clipper in the area Friday but it just falls apart as it gets here. These Pacific blocking patterns used to be money for clippers. This year we can't buy one.

The Can/RGEM are tossing out crazy low temps for Wednesday morning. RGEM has me around -10. The GGEM -6. Euro 4 and GFS 5.