John1122

Of course the Euro has another near gulf coast snow event.

Without snow cover we won't get terribly cold. So there's that.

The energy was futher west on the icon so it was better for us. Then it hammers the PV our way and we get high ratio snow showers. The GFS has folded to the Euro on wave one and wave two looks like it's gonna be weak as well.

Euro is just nothing for either wave now. I personally prefer mild weather to dry cold. If I'm paying large heating costs I at least want some snow.

My zone forecast from MRX now days "Moderate Snow Accumulation" Wednesday night. That has historically been 2-4 inches. Thanks for all the well wishes. I'm feeling better now than I was earlier.

Had a dusting earlier today. Quickly melted away. May be coming down with the flu. Been going to middle and high school basketball games this week and that's rolling the dice on a good week.

The EPS also improved vs 12z.

Its not so much that it loses it, it's that the low is further north than the GFS so the precip is too. It did move more to the south and west vs 12z with the slight step towards the GFS.

That clipper on the euro is almost what the gfs showed the other day. It thumps northern middle Tn and southern middle Kentucky where those convective looking snow showers are.

Second wave is a clipper on the euro with connective snow showers. If you get caught under one you'll get dumped on.

Definitely improved from 12z and as Tellico noted, it actually stepped towards the GFS.

Pops too late for most of us on the Euro. Eastern mountains and SW Va make out though.

The Euro is maybe a little better with the first wave than 12z so far. Nothing like the GFS with that Lee side low it pops and bombs us, at least not yet. Still rolling.

Euro AI has lost it as well on today's runs, including 0z here. I hope it's wrong but with only the GFS and ICON on board, this is very unlikely to be a big event. Every other model is just some N stream snow showers. I'll be surprised if the Euro Op isn't the same.

The AI GFS has wave one and two. Cooperative 540s. BN 850s. But temps in the mid to upper 30s even with precip falling and crashing 850s.