John1122

Looks like January 1982 is showing up as an analog at 500mb according to Webb. January 1982 was the year it snowed basically every day for a week. The biggest was 3 inches, but it would snow 1/2 to 1 inch almost every day. We had accumulating snowfall on 9 of 10 days. Even Knoxville recorded 1.5 inches 3 days in a row. It was capped off by an epic ice storm on January 18th, that the NWS records for some reason, ignore for Knoxville. It says Knoxville got .21 qpf of ice in the "official" record. This is from a KNS article about January 18th/19th 1982. "That Jan. 18th date was all about ice. The mother of all freezing rains turned the entire area into a skating rink with ice an inch or more thick in most places. Law enforcement reported more than 150 wrecks. Power failures showed up across the grid. Schools and businesses were shut down. Downtown hotels filled up with ice-locked workers unable to get home. The less fortunate spent the night in their cars unable to do anything but spin their wheels. The National Weather Service personnel called it the worst ice storm they'd seen in decades. Stories abounded of people latching up their ice skates for a trip to the store or literally crawling from their cars to get back into their homes and offices." Temperatures in the -10s here just before that ice storm.

I think we'd all take this, with single digit cold pressing in behind the second clipper.

The Canadian is just full blown winter, snow, ice box cold before New Years and after. +PNA looks beginning to appear and downstream we win. Old fashioned clipper/Siberian express on there.

The Canadian is into the vodka for cold to close the month. Dry as a bone unfortunately.

Keep in mind, a lot of what Webb talks about is in regards to how things will affect areas East of the Apps. For me, I'm certain that the Aleutian high will break down, they all do. Where we go when it does, I don't know.

It usually means our weather is winter warm, but I can at least live vicariously when they get two 3+ feet snows 3x a week.

There's a wild temperature gradient across my area right now. I just came home from Knoxville, and dropped my friend and his wife off in Caryville, it was 57 at his house. It's 31 at my house. I live 10 miles NE of him.

The 0z GFS is a heatwave, but possible light at the end of the tunnel as the Aleutian high collapses finally at the end of the run. They tend to end that way, just beastly and then they go away. It's ending on that run around January 5th, which would be close to it's average 32 day lifecycle.

Cousin at 2400 feet in an exposed area said that at 10:50 they recorded a gust at 75mph then the aneometer broke off. Had some reports of roofs blown off. Huge trees are down too. Wide spread power outages.

No sooner had I said that than thunder boomed. TIMs activated. Of course this may end as snow flakes towards morning.

That like blitzed through here. No thunder but incredible wind and heavy rain.

That was one of the most severe winter events for the entire Tennessee Valley, ever. Huge ice storm, snow close to the blizzard of 93 levels, and cold close to 1985 levels.

The Euro bombs Northern half of NC and most of Virginia with a monster New Years snow, due to a clipper that rains on us and goes full Miller B on them, after it develops off the coast it spins in place giving them a mega storm. The GFS looks like it may have been loading up to send something our way by the 3rd. Too far out to take seriously of course, but possibly a sign that the NAO is working a bit and use getting scraps while east of the Apps would fit in with the pattern we've seen as far as precip goes.

The ridge/trough orientation has just sucked for basically the entire forum. Especially the west side. It's been cold and mostly dry. We got clipped by a couple of clippers in the East. If the ridge had been oriented into a +PNA configuration, those clippers that buried the Midwest to Virginia would have been rolling across Tennessee. Northern Kentucky has gotten hit a lot. Louisville Kentucky already has about a foot in the first 15 days of met winter. With a +PNA that would have had that active northern stream, which is common in La Nina, over our forum area.

Yes, I'm surrounded on all sides by 2500ft+ peaks.