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About John1122

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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KCSV
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Location:
Campbell Co, Tennessee 1750'
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Weather Next was basically a copy and paste of 12z.
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The EPS was around 20 percent higher with QPF vs 12z.
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If 0z tics less qpf, that will be something like the 10th run in a row with the 12/0 vs 18/6 precip shift.
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I fully expect a snatch and splat.
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Dramatically stronger from the Euro. Apparently it just exists to do the opposite of the GFS.
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The Euro AI bumped up totals slightly, continuing the 18/6z vs 12/0z trend.
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The most frustrating thing about all this is that we've had an epic pattern but haven't done diddly squat with it east of the midstate.
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The GFS caved to the Euro earlier than normal.
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The RGEM would be about as good as it could get for the most folks.
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RGEM is having a much better ULL pass.
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Not very good for most of us on that run. Too far east with the ull.
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The EPS, which would normally be less qpf than an OP, was more in-line with the AI Euro and had a larger precip field for Tennessee with .1 back towards Cookeville.
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15z SREF was .3 to .5 qpf for most of East Tn out to 87 hrs. With .1 back to Nashville, and .2 down to Chattanooga. The NAM should be decent based on that.
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I believe the RGEM is 3 basically.
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I wouldn't think so, but others have noted it and it's AI have been doing that for 6-8 runs in a row.
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