John1122

Euro Ai is blah.

Snow cover doing work.

UKIE was a major westward shift too. Only helps the far east but it was about like the GFS.

The Canadian wound the energy up over west Tennessee instead of East/Middle Tennessee and that was the response.

The Canadian is single digits to low 10s while snowing.

Canadian is a big run from Cookeville and points east it looks like. It was really good with this last storm and the first turd in the punch bowl showing massive warm noses. Hopefully it's right here.

GFS took a big step west. Those in the far eastern areas would cash in with that run.

Man, that's an unfortunate eastward shift from weather next.

Euro AI was pretty steady and right about the same as 12z. Euro OP was worse for anywhere in Tennessee than 12z.

The Weather Next precip shield has expanded west 3 runs in a row.

I hope so, we were supposed to have cleared out already but it's not yet.

Weather Next QPF map. 10:1 THAT would be 2.5-4 from the Plateau eastward, but we may be looking at 15:1 or 18:1 ratios.

It was the best from what I could tell and basically similar to what happened from 5+ days out. It seems to lock on and hold steady while others bounce around. It may have just gotten lucky. But it's 500mb verification scores are the best of all models this winter.

Weather Next would probably be 3-6 inches for most areas from maybe just each of Nashville and East, with 5-8 over far eastern areas.