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Everything posted by EasternLI
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Radar is sick. NAM was bonkers. Intensity slowly ramping up here. Looking great.
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06 z euro looks good to me. 12+ just about all of LI. Heavy band starting to really come together now. Should be a fun several hours coming up. This thing was a cutter without the blocking. Be happy
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Light snow started in Riverhead at 10 pm. Feeling pretty good for at least a foot in this area.
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Just been really busy. But I'm here for this. Should be a good one!
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Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
EasternLI replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Haven't seen it mentioned much lately, but I think a lot of the blame for that this year falls on the SSW. I remember discussion about how it would be very problematic if the cold dump was on the other side of the pole. Well, it was. Which doesn't leave much to tap into on this side. Which is what we've been seeing. -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
EasternLI replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Eps overnight is now effectively advertising a transient period of favorability. With the ridging methodically retrograding to the dateline by the end of the run. -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
EasternLI replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Something is lurking out there around the 15/16th maybe. Looks cold after that with cross polar flow and -nao -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
EasternLI replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
That's a solid winter pattern on the eps in the 10-15 day. 2nd half of the month looking very interesting. This is a 5 day mean. -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
EasternLI replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
For December, top 3 looks like it's been; #1 Euro #2 UK #3 Canadian -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
EasternLI replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
There actually is some cross polar flow into Canada on the eps. Starts building on the 14th. Looks -AO driven to me. -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
EasternLI replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
00Z same time period. Looking good. -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
EasternLI replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Sure looks like its shaping up to be a very interesting 2nd half of winter. -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
EasternLI replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
End of the eps seems pretty phenomenal. -
December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
EasternLI replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Schenectady smokeshow right now. https://wnyt.com/article/12543/- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
EasternLI replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Solid moderate snow here with a coating on everything.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
EasternLI replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Light snow has commenced in Riverhead.- 1,011 replies
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That euro run is about as good as it gets for a forum wide event. Let's do it. Lock that in.
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LOL
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I like ensemble means at this range. They all seem to strongly suggest a close to benchmark system. The 18z gfs looks well within the spread of the individuals of ensembles. The other operational models too, for that matter. Will be interesting to watch unfold.
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That's one of the Singapore daily readings. Those are quite noisy from day to day. The graphic itself comes from the really nice NASA qbo page. https://acd-ext.gsfc.nasa.gov/Data_services/met/qbo/qbo.html