EasternLI

I just shut the TV off before halftime. Can't take it anymore haha

Interesting reply to that tweet. Regarding the euro sounding. Was wondering about this.

DC area has been struggling mightily to see snow in recent years. I know the feeling, rooting for them here.

Still don't know what to think here lol. The dry air is a real concern. That gradient is going to be tight.

Yeah, we just need to monitor it for now. I prefer being in that situation, though instead of the reverse. We'll see how 12z's handle things.

Yeah, that's fascinating. Really interesting stuff.

I'm enjoying following the sst evolution related to those wind anomalies currently. It's nice to see the Indonesian waters cooling off for a change. The persistent convection in that area probably played a roll in that as well.

As it stands currently as of this morning.

That's the wave spacing I'm talking about. This system today is getting out of the way a little quicker. Which helps tomorrow's system. Need that to continue. That allows the heights to rise a bit more between them. Instead of squashing it.

Be interesting to see if trends continue. The better wave spacing and even slightly better adjustments to the height field recently have been helping. I'm watching the trends with that throughout the day. Nice to see the gfs do well with the idea of a system for a change. Not perfect by any means, but it had the better idea it would seem.

Not sure if I'd call it that. I'd say 95-96 was the one closest to wall to wall. Like bluewave posted. 02-03 was a good one though.

00z EPS mid month

It's come NW for the past 4 runs. Including this one. Which started basically as nothing 4 runs ago. So that's interesting alone. Better wave spacing each time.

Blend that gfs with today's European for the 7th, that wouldn't be half bad for most.

Yeah, what was that lol. GFS Being stubborn with this thing. Might have to check out the 18z euro

Yeah, I was just about to post that lol. MJO looks good too on this run. Approved.

Here's where we leave off at the end of today's EPS

Yeah, it looks like that one is going to set up the baroclinic zone for this one. So what happens with that one is going to be important for storm track. A bit more blocking would be nice as you mention. Kind of surprised to see that solution today TBH.

At this range, the mean is in a good spot. That's more important for now.

12z euro ensemble on board

12z euro for Friday

Happy new year fellow weather enthusiasts. The 00z EPS agrees with bluewave's assessment.

Yes. One way or another. We need to see some sst gradients otherwise it's useless. I imagine other factors would just take over. Like a enso neutral. Not really much of a gradient in 18-19, just warm all over. Hopefully it's not a totally permanent feature yet, but the outlook isn't great. I'd like to give a moderate one a shot. We haven't done that in a while. But I think a strong one is coming sooner rather than later. This mjo has been downwelling that record warm water during this time. I'm curious to see what happens with that.

Yeah, there was a +PDO too which I believe gave a big assist. But that's uncommon for a La Niña.