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Everything posted by EasternLI
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	Sometime around the end of next week looks to be the next storm chance after the current one impending. So there's more opportunity ahead.
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	Maybe. But let me ask you this. If it were the ops trailing to the east and the ensembles were west, would we be abandoning ensembles then?
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	I realize some have decided that the ensembles are useless here, however I'm going to keep posting them.
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	06z eps, bunch of inside runners. The mean isn't awful yet though. We keep monitoring.
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	Just have to see how it goes through the coming days. That's a little too close for comfort now though IMO.
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	Jim is awesome and this is a great thread to summarize the situation.
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	It's ensemble time range right now. OP runs are fun to speculate on.
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	Yesterday: Storm absolutely crushed ots. Today: Storm absolutely cutting inside. Only 5 days left to hold it exactly how it's shown today.
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	Yes it really does. Agreed.
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	Yup, remember it well. Always hearing stories about how snowy the 60's were too made my head want to explode lol. Since like 2000 has been insane.
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	Here's the day 10-15 12z EPS, today's edition. This is a 5 day mean. The very end of the run still has the same look as this. Its impressive.
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	Not really, that's a nice look right now. Focus on the mean for now, that's where the skill is at this time. Long way to go. Confidence in a storm is increasing for this period now. That's the take away.
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	Bunch of bombs in that ^ Looks like we found the period of interest.
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	I remember an awful lot of folks canceling the whole season in December. I was not one of them. Always said this year held some potential. Now let's see if we can take advantage.
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	Agreed. In addition, I know why the EPS did what it did from 00z to 12z. It's having some difficulty with how to handle tropical convection. Which, I'm sure you already suspected as well. It's back in line with the GEFS now at 12z in that regard.
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	You're preaching to the choir. I found his comment humorous.
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	No clarity here yet. Probably more convoluted today. Ocean storm looks like a solid miss on this run though before this. Going to have to wait it out a little bit more. Hopefully more clarity tomorrow.
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	-PNA evaporated on the EPS at 12z

 
        