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Everything posted by EasternLI
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Welcome back to the 80s vibes thus far.
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You're seeing dual lows on that from some solutions. I said nothing about actual effects anywhere. Good grief. Just my read on the output. Nobody is trying to take your snow away.
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Here's the EPS 12z. I feel like we're coming really close to model concensus today. Powerful storm, inside runner track.
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Convection. That's why I think you see those lows off shore on the GEFS. While the main area of low pressure is still riding up just inland. Where the best dynamics are. Meso lows offshore. That's my take.
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This is a nice level headed view of the situation IMO. I agree with this approach.
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Hard to say without dissecting every one of them. I'm not getting into all of that lol. Could be.
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Sometime around the end of next week looks to be the next storm chance after the current one impending. So there's more opportunity ahead.
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Maybe. But let me ask you this. If it were the ops trailing to the east and the ensembles were west, would we be abandoning ensembles then?
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I realize some have decided that the ensembles are useless here, however I'm going to keep posting them.
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06z eps, bunch of inside runners. The mean isn't awful yet though. We keep monitoring.
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Just have to see how it goes through the coming days. That's a little too close for comfort now though IMO.
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Jim is awesome and this is a great thread to summarize the situation.
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It's ensemble time range right now. OP runs are fun to speculate on.
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Yesterday: Storm absolutely crushed ots. Today: Storm absolutely cutting inside. Only 5 days left to hold it exactly how it's shown today.
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Yes it really does. Agreed.