EasternLI
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Everything posted by EasternLI
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Personally, I'd much rather be looking at a situation where something is shown OTS at this range. Maybe that would actually work out for us in the end. Instead of being shown as a hit right now but ultimately end up over Pittsburgh.
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Ok, seems to be an unknown for the time being. However, something higher than vei 2 cannot be ruled out. It's all speculation for now. Something interesting to monitor for sure. Good thread here.
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Interesting. I really don't know too much about these things. I definitely want to look into this a little deeper.
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Heh, this is probably going to have an effect eventually. Most powerful stratospheric volcanic eruption in quite some time.
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Nobody is counting on anything. I merely posted ensemble guidance output. It's a period of interest nothing more. Not everything works out. Even in the very best patterns one could dream about. I do believe we've said that in here numerous times. Simply identifying a period of interest should not draw out frustration of previous events. That's forecasting based on emotion. Not all situations are the same. But I totally understand the reason for the feeling.
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Volcano goes boom. Big time.
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Next weekend is still on the radar. Let's see how we can get this one to track into Cleveland
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06z NAM has winds of 70+kts at 925mb take a tour of Long Island. Let's not mix that down too effectively please. -
Eversourse takes the cake. Easily. I've spent some time in connecticut.
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This picture of Bigfoot hitching a ride on the Loch Ness monster with a UFO watching could provide insight.
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That trailing vort has been trending stronger. That's going to be something to watch on models over the weekend. How that plays out.
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I'm actually still pretty interested in this. Even with no shot of snow IMBY. It's still going to be an anomalous storm system. The wind aspect is a bit troubling if it can mix down efficiently. I hope you folks in the interior can get some front end snow out of it though too. Even though the setup is, let's say, less than ideal.
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Haha it's just all in good fun. Nothing more. Seemed like an appropriate time.
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If that trailing shortwave comes in any stronger, this thing could actually amp up a bit further west than shown now too. That thing is still offshore. Will be onshore for tomorrow's model runs.
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You're actually sucking up tropical moisture into this thing. Check out the moisture feed. This image also helps to show how WNY is under the gun for the most snow with this. If you look closely at the wind barbs, the 850 jet grinds to a halt around Binghamton. So in simple terms the moisture piles up, is lifted and is dumped as snow on WNY. This is another illustration of why mid level low tracks are very important as well. Instead of the little red L on surface maps.
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^ That's the shortwave thats the biggest problem with this thing. You can see how it just dives in and tilts the whole system west.
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Next weekend is still a period of interest. But it's tough to be enthused with the way things have gone.
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Only way I could see any meaningful changes one way or another, is if changes occur with handling that northern vort digging in on the backside. It's still out in the Pacific. But that just seems like a long shot TBH.
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Yup, agree. It's been a wild ride watching how this thing has emerged. Just need to keep watching things. I feel like something will pop up next week at some point on models. Gotta get this thing out of the way first though.
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Keep an eye on next weekend. Especially after this stemwinder gets out of the way. Nothing is going to blatantly stick out from long range in this type of pattern IMO. But there's something there.
