Too soon to get comfortable with any outcome. Wholesale changes are not needed in this situation. It's simply too close to call. Very difficult forecast.
Gfs was a tick better with the phase. Results on the ground were fairly similar though. Because it's got a broad trough. Like to see that sharpen up a bit.
The low is kind of on a blob of convection. Wonder if that's real. Sometimes it is, sometimes it isn't. If it isn't, would be a better solution I think.
It's got a double barrel low look to it. With some vorticity running out in front of the main trough. The trough is a bit broad. It delayed the capture a little bit. Would be nice to see a tighter/sharper trough. Let's see what else today brings.