I'm not going to be confident about anything with this sucker until I'm watching radar. We need to keep watching future model runs. Trends today will be important.
Here's a couple probability maps from the 00z eps run. 6+ and 12+
Still a couple days of model runs left... little confidence how this exactly plays out yet.
It's rare indeed. But possible in intense systems that are maxing out near our latitude. Because the rain snow line is drawn tight to the actual low center in those cases. This has that rare potential.