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EasternLI

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Everything posted by EasternLI

  1. Nammy looks a hair more amped then 06z early on. Let's see how it goes.
  2. I take these light snow obs as a good omen... Models that didn't have that had the worse solutions. Just a thought.
  3. Exactly. This is going to be an amazing experience either way for me. It's not often something like this comes around. I hope everyone gets crushed.
  4. This looks like a beast. Expect surprises. I don't even care to jack. Just wind this sucker up and get as many people involved as possible. Will be amazing to witness a good old fashioned stemwinder.
  5. I highly doubt that happens in this situation. This isn't a normal noreaster setup. It's being ingested into the northern stream. So it's maxing out on closest approach. When that happens, the rain snow line is pinned next to the low. But it also helps energize the system. Hence the high potential. We would just get smoked out here by a coastal front while further west got mid level dynamics.
  6. Have no idea. But this is going to be wild to watch unfold either way.
  7. Some of the models showed that light snow starting, may not really stop. Just get heavier later. That could be possible and is a hallmark of the larger events too.
  8. Yeah, the ensembles have been hinting that we could get more chances in February too
  9. Yeah, I totally get it. I guess I just always realized that this was a pattern change event. So the warmup following was expected in my view.
  10. 2" Liquid equivalent in Suffolk. At least 1" to the city. LFG.
  11. Euro has the trough a touch more negative tilt than the 00z run.
  12. Who cares if it's going to melt? Just have it happen lol.
  13. As far as the eps is concerned. Yes, There's still some spread. I just looked at them. But it's a little misleading on the loop I posted. Because some have the dual low. But many of them don't as well.
  14. Just a hunch. But I think the double barrel low is bogus. Might not be though. Hopefully today will get a little clearer with that.
  15. Yeah, those maps are ridiculous. Agree. It's based on nothing but column temps. Tossed.
  16. This is one of the most amazing 00z EPS loops I've seen.
  17. Looking very much like the euro took everything to school with this thing.
  18. Looking like it's getting captured south of Nantucket to me.
  19. Doesn't seem to be doing the dual low thing this run.
  20. Light snow looks to break out tomorrow btw.
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