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Tyler Penland

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Everything posted by Tyler Penland

  1. Tyler Penland
    If I had a nickel for every gulf storm that the globals understate northern precip amounts on I'd have a lot of nickels.
  2. Tyler Penland
    We've managed to get to 25 so far after a low of 9. Actually feels really nice in the sunshine. MRX went straight to a warning for 3-5".
  3. Tyler Penland
    They like to do this. Wait til the last minute. They've completely botched more than one event since I moved up here in 2015, too. Just keep watching the models, things are looking better and better for us (NW shifts for the win). I'm wondering when FFC/GSP is gonna pull their warning trigger, too. Less than 24 hours now.
  4. Tyler Penland
    I don't think lack of precip is gonna be an issue for most (remember globals are going to underestimate that every single time) but the warm nose on the NAM is very concerning to me. It doesn't miss on those much.
  5. Tyler Penland
    I'm in Asheville but wife said 25 with a glaze at the house. Haven't been able to get my station to recognize the wifi since Helene.
  6. Tyler Penland
    Fair. Not even picked up a glaze that I can see yet. Temp says 28. Feels like a heat wave. One thing I noted is that after we go briefly above freezing in the morning we are looking at a 7-10 day stretch below freezing here. Reminiscent of the 2018 freeze out. Should be some nice frozen waterfalls soon.
  7. Tyler Penland
    Over to ZR in Blowing Rock now. Very light stuff fortunately.
  8. Tyler Penland
    31 according to the truck and a sleet/graupel/snow kinda thing here in Blowing Rock.
  9. Tyler Penland
    That's a lot of precip over central TN that wasn't supposed to be there last night.
  10. Tyler Penland
    Absolutely hammered for a bit. 1.5" now. Kicking and crawling our season total up to 7.8".
  11. Tyler Penland
    Just hit 1".
  12. Tyler Penland
    22 with light flurries/diamond dust here this morning. Very pretty.
  13. Tyler Penland
    Glancing at the Euro soundings verbatim it is very, very close to staying all snow in the mountains on Monday. I would imagine the warm nose wins (it almost always does) but it is very close.
  14. Tyler Penland
    I wondered when the cold front was gonna get here. Barely any wind in Blowing Rock all day but its breezy here at the house now.
  15. Tyler Penland
    NAM looks solid overnight. Should hit the high elevations decent. GFS on a bit of an island with the CAD event Monday but plenty of time for that to change up. I'm scheduled to be working in Asheville so you can bet on a sleet/ZR storm down there at least.
  16. Tyler Penland
    Until we can get one of these bigger things under 240 hours I'll believe it when I see it. Remember the extended for the end of December was an extreme torch and that didn't work out. No reason to believe the opposite will be true 2 weeks from now.
  17. Tyler Penland
    Sitting quite literally at the top of the wedge right now. 43 degrees a quarter mile downhill from me. 51 and windy here imby.
  18. Tyler Penland
    12z GFS real real close to a mountain whopper next week. That time frame has been showing potential for a bit now.
  19. Tyler Penland
    3/4" here overnight. Still a bit of light stuff falling this morning. Stuck to absolutely everything, quite pretty.
  20. Tyler Penland
    I think we got about 5 raindrops out of this somehow. Really like the look of Friday night. Too bad I gotta work Saturday lol
  21. Tyler Penland
    Up at Grayson Highlands. Was hoping for some good rime ice but while it is 25 and ridiculously windy not much to report in the way of snow/time ice. A good 4-6" of needle ice in spots though lol
  22. Tyler Penland
    Was 52 at 9:30. Currently 38 with snow mixing in in Blowing Rock.
  23. Tyler Penland
    Nope only had 8" here from that one. Right at 16" in '18. Which means I have had one at half. Actually forgot we made it to 8 in the 22 storm.
  24. Tyler Penland
    6 years ago today. Haven't seen an event with half this total since. I've had 2 winters not even see a season total this high.
  25. Tyler Penland
    Still a warm up, rain, cold, repeat pattern though. Trending in the right direction just need it to keep going. Next Wed/Thu is interesting.
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