Until we can get one of these bigger things under 240 hours I'll believe it when I see it. Remember the extended for the end of December was an extreme torch and that didn't work out. No reason to believe the opposite will be true 2 weeks from now.
Up at Grayson Highlands. Was hoping for some good rime ice but while it is 25 and ridiculously windy not much to report in the way of snow/time ice. A good 4-6" of needle ice in spots though lol
Wednesday night looking interesting with the frontal passage. NAM has an almost convective look to it. I hope so, I'm off Thursday so I can actually enjoy it lol. Haven't had a snowy day off yet.
Not sure what MRX is doing but they have us at a 20% chance of snow overnight. They completely missed last night and this morning, though. Moisture plume looks decent out around Bowling Green.
So for some reason they've decided this isn't the case for the time being. Park Service announced the other day that it is closed to all recreation when the gates are shut due to potential for downed trees and unstable ground. I think its a bit of an overreaction but that's what they've decided to do for now. Honestly a little tired of how easily public lands are getting closed since the pandemic.
But yeah, most businesses saw at least a 70-80% drop in sales in October. We would love the tourism.
Long range still looking good. 12z GFS/Euro both very cold in the extended. Lots of small NW flow events sprinkled in. Fingers crossed for a big dog around the 5-12th.