The hrrr is convinced some moisture rides up the apps. 5z actually shows some good totals along the escarpment. Not getting my hopes up too high but it's sticking to its guns for now.
New 0z HRRR looking decent for the NW mountains tomorrow evening. Seems to build in some precip against the mountains around 21z. Here's hoping since I barley picked up 1/2" today.
Yeah. Seems about right. Somebody stole a snow shield and put it up in Boone evidently. Never in my life have I been so disappointed with a season. At least living down in GA I knew not to expect anything. Up here though?
I'm a little lost on why neither Greenville or Blacksburg has issued a flood watch. Not like the models haven't been showing the potential for days now or anything. FFC put theirs out yesterday.
I'm at home in Foscoe right now. It's back to a mix but went to light rain/drizzle for a few minutes and wiped out the dusting we had going. If it's going to rain anywhere it's from here down to Valle Crucis. Edit: back to drizzle. *sigh*
My dad just messaged me that it's snowing at their place in Cleveland, GA. Said it's not much but it's there. Actually seeing a lot of reports from outside the mountains down there as well. Snow/sleet mixing in in the Gainesville area too.
The difference in the 0z NAM and the 18z GFS at 48 hours is wild. Few hundred miles difference at 500mb over Texas. Last 3 Nam runs have all trended towards the gfs though.
I'd bet serious money that the gfs and euro are both under doing the extent of the NW precip shield. Not to mention we still have 2 days for the inevitable nw shift. Temps are still gonna suck but hopefully the mountains can something. Honestly I'd rather not see any NW shifts I'd rather just take my chances with questionable moisture rather than questionable temps.
It really is nice. I got married down there back in August. If you are into waterfalls be sure to check out Soco Falls. It's roadside about halfway between Cherokee and Maggie Valley. Beautiful twin falls. Would be great to see in the snow.