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Tyler Penland

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Everything posted by Tyler Penland

  1. Tyler Penland
    Wet flakes mixing in up on Beech in the heavier precip.
  2. Tyler Penland
    Round 2 incoming. Interested to see if we can get some snow out of this run.
  3. Tyler Penland
    Yessir. We're warming up slowly. Probably change over to cold rain soon enough. Not a lot of buildup on the trees but word is the roads are pretty bad. Maybe 2/10" on the deck.
  4. Tyler Penland
    30 and slick slick slick.
  5. Tyler Penland
    Still sitting at 28 here. First real ice potential since I moved to this part of the county so I'm interested to see how it goes in this little valley.
  6. Tyler Penland
    0z HRRR out to hr 5 and already a significant temp adjustment to the cooler side.
  7. Tyler Penland
    Already down to 30 in Banner Elk. Dropping real quick.
  8. Tyler Penland
    Yeah my only problem with that, for the mountains, is that the Boone area starts off in the upper-20s from what I've seen. Possibly a little cooler than that in the prime CAD areas. Off the mountain the totals definitely won't be as catastrophic as the NAM more than likely but I could see the northern mountain areas raking in a half inch of ice if things play out right. Personally I'm good with a 33 and rain day over any zr.
  9. Tyler Penland
    Yeah looks like both the RGEM and NAM keep the 221 corridor from Newland north in the hot seat. HRRR is colder and would be some great sleet-sledding weather.
  10. Tyler Penland
    Worth noting the RGEM also keeps the part of the northern escarpment up towards Boone below freezing for the entire event. Changes to snow at the end. 1/2-3/4" of QPF.
  11. Tyler Penland
    It's the NAM even a third might be generous. It wildly overstates upslope precip totals in most events. Did the same thing a couple years ago with a similar system. The HRRR is probably more on the right track with its total qpf of .6 or so for the favored areas.
  12. Tyler Penland
    Well, first WSW of the season from Blacksburg for MBY. Greenville just with a WWA for the rest of the area;. Should be a pretty interesting day tomorrow. HRRR showing a solid dry slot and is much lower in precip totals overall than the NAM (surprise, surprise).
  13. Tyler Penland
    Yeah just came down from Banner Elk and it was coming down solid. Roads starting to get covered a bit.
  14. Tyler Penland
    Looks like it's snow for most of the storm to me. Very interesting. HRRR not known for running cold.
  15. Tyler Penland
    Nothing like a good old fashioned flizzard day.
  16. Tyler Penland
    Yeah TT doesn't have soundings but looks like a pretty strong/deep CAD. It has a tendency to overdo that stuff but definitely not a great look for those wanting to have power on Wednesday afternoon.
  17. Tyler Penland
    12km NAM is an absolute mess.
  18. Tyler Penland
    Which one? Ha.
  19. Tyler Penland
    Interesting little system on the 18z GFS. Also has a nice gulf low next weekend and a nice NWFS event for Christmas. Fingers crossed.
  20. Tyler Penland
    Started off as rain but swapped to snow. Just starting to stick but coming down at a decent clip.
  21. Tyler Penland
    18z NAM continuing the increased qpf trend.
  22. Tyler Penland
    The three certainties in life: death, taxes and the NW trend.
  23. Tyler Penland
    12z NAM not quite as moist across the region on Monday but still scattered snowfall. Gonna be an interesting day that's for certain.
  24. Tyler Penland
    12km Nam is fantastic.
  25. Tyler Penland
    Yeah we're already planning a trip behind a gulf low. I was just glad I still have the stamina and fitness to do that 14 mile, 4kft gain and still get out of bed this morning ha.
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