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Tyler Penland

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Everything posted by Tyler Penland

  1. Tyler Penland
    Getting some flurries all the way down in GA this afternoon.
  2. Tyler Penland
    Well 18z suite didn't go our way for mid week. I'm down in GA til Monday evening, y'all enjoy the NWF.
  3. Tyler Penland
    Models just inching north. Last few runs of the gfs just slightly weakening the high. Interesting few days ahead. The NW trend is inevitable.
  4. Tyler Penland
    3km NAM out to 60. Could be interesting for sure.
  5. Tyler Penland
    Just wish it wasn't rain on the last big ski weekend of the year. Awful for local businesses that are already down. Lots of "local" (Charlotte, Winston/Greensboro) folks won't come up with rain in the forecast. Beech and Sugar are both down about 25% this year from what I've heard despite the great weather. That said, I'll be VERY surprised if we aren't looking at a decent thump next Tue-Thu. If this Sundays low could get going a little quicker it could kick some moisture back as well.
  6. Tyler Penland
    Spent the afternoon hiking the Parkway from Beacon Heights to near Rough Ridge. Wind was absolutely brutal. Snow was 10+" deep on the Tanawa at Wilson Creek. Drifts up to my knees in spots.
  7. Tyler Penland
    Wound up with a drift on my board so had to measure around the yard. Average of 5.5". Solid event and still coming down.
  8. Tyler Penland
    Up to 3.5" and back to some snow, but not heavy just yet. Probably more in the rest of the county we usually get down sloped by Grandfather a bit in these situations.
  9. Tyler Penland
    Almost 3" and been hammering for a bit. Y'all can have the sleet, our roads are bad enough.
  10. Tyler Penland
    Snow started about 11:30 in Blowing Rock. Only about a half inch so far here at the house but it's coming down decent. 24º
  11. Tyler Penland
    If I had a nickel for every gulf storm that the globals understate northern precip amounts on I'd have a lot of nickels.
  12. Tyler Penland
    We've managed to get to 25 so far after a low of 9. Actually feels really nice in the sunshine. MRX went straight to a warning for 3-5".
  13. Tyler Penland
    They like to do this. Wait til the last minute. They've completely botched more than one event since I moved up here in 2015, too. Just keep watching the models, things are looking better and better for us (NW shifts for the win). I'm wondering when FFC/GSP is gonna pull their warning trigger, too. Less than 24 hours now.
  14. Tyler Penland
    I don't think lack of precip is gonna be an issue for most (remember globals are going to underestimate that every single time) but the warm nose on the NAM is very concerning to me. It doesn't miss on those much.
  15. Tyler Penland
    I'm in Asheville but wife said 25 with a glaze at the house. Haven't been able to get my station to recognize the wifi since Helene.
  16. Tyler Penland
    Fair. Not even picked up a glaze that I can see yet. Temp says 28. Feels like a heat wave. One thing I noted is that after we go briefly above freezing in the morning we are looking at a 7-10 day stretch below freezing here. Reminiscent of the 2018 freeze out. Should be some nice frozen waterfalls soon.
  17. Tyler Penland
    Over to ZR in Blowing Rock now. Very light stuff fortunately.
  18. Tyler Penland
    31 according to the truck and a sleet/graupel/snow kinda thing here in Blowing Rock.
  19. Tyler Penland
    That's a lot of precip over central TN that wasn't supposed to be there last night.
  20. Tyler Penland
    Absolutely hammered for a bit. 1.5" now. Kicking and crawling our season total up to 7.8".
  21. Tyler Penland
    Just hit 1".
  22. Tyler Penland
    22 with light flurries/diamond dust here this morning. Very pretty.
  23. Tyler Penland
    Glancing at the Euro soundings verbatim it is very, very close to staying all snow in the mountains on Monday. I would imagine the warm nose wins (it almost always does) but it is very close.
  24. Tyler Penland
    I wondered when the cold front was gonna get here. Barely any wind in Blowing Rock all day but its breezy here at the house now.
  25. Tyler Penland
    NAM looks solid overnight. Should hit the high elevations decent. GFS on a bit of an island with the CAD event Monday but plenty of time for that to change up. I'm scheduled to be working in Asheville so you can bet on a sleet/ZR storm down there at least.
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