Tyler Penland

Saw a video of some solid snow falling up at Mitchell this morning. Top of Beech saw some flakes. Spent the day down at the Valle Fair and pumpkin patch with the kids. Hard to beat this kind of fall weather. Gonna hit up Woolly Worm tomorrow- the rain and 30s wasn't calling my name this morning lol.

I'd say hot (mild) and wet. Boone is 50/50 on good snow or terrible snow in Super Ninos. 82/83 and 15/16 were both solid, but 97/98 and 23/24 both saw 2.5 and 2.7" season total respectively. I'll be surprised if we see any consistent cool weather until late December or January, at any rate. 3 of the 4 Super Ninos have been above average December including the record setting 2015. At the end of the day, though, 4 winters isn't a very big sample size and with this Nino being so ridiculously strong you can pretty much toss all the analogs anyways. I'm putting my money on Pacific air flooding the southern half of the country but that's just me. Better chance for widespread severe outbreaks than widespread snow.

Very windy here in Blowing Rock. If it weren't 60 degrees you'd think it was fall. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

One of the more fascinating things around here after a big rain event is how loud Grandfather gets. The mountain literally roars. Kinda cool, and a bit eerie. Aaaand it's raining again with nothing on radar. Might get my last 5/100ths today anyways.

9. 95", looks like there was a little zone from Linville up this way that got the highest totals. Widespread 7-8 though, at least on the south/east side. Couple of my employees are stuck with small land/mudslides and flooded roads. Overall main roads in the county are fine. The low water levels prior definitely saved some big problems.

Another 3" since midnight puts me at 9.03". Still absolutely dumping under this band. Incredible. Lightning now too. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

Still tacking on warnings/advisories. Fire department reporting water over the road in Chimney Rock per Radarscope. Linville River up to 4.46ft in Nebo. Watauga only currently at 4.01 in Sugar Grove- antecedent conditions helping a ton.

Roadway flooding on 64 in Chimney Rock near Dogwood RV park per the fire department. Arguably this is the first real test of what drainage looks like now since Helene. All those landslides no longer take in water- especially in the fall when all the smaller plants are done for the year. Just hit 6" here. Last batch jumped to 2"/hr for a minute there. My temperature gauge must've gotten water in it, it has stopped reporting. Had to kick a spider out of it the other day when I was cleaning- hopefully it didn't mess something up in there.

5.5". Rates between 1/2-1" an hour consistently since I got home at 7:30. Fortunately no wind at all here.

Just crossed over the 5" mark up here on the mountain near Seven Devils. Been absolutely pouring for the last few hours now. Hope all you folks in the foothills are staying safe.

Flood Advisory now. Absolutely dumping closing in on 5" at 4.78" currently. Flood Advisories run the entire escarpment with this firehose set-up. 0z HRRR has another 3-4" with heavy rain on and off all night, outside chance of hitting that 10" it was spitting out yesterday. Wild dude. My friend over near the TN line only had an inch in about an hour ago. The crazy swings across the county will never not fascinate me.

Just got home from work and 3.53" in the gauge and coming down at a good clip. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

Looking at radar looks like we'll be in these tropical downpours for a while. Up to a little over an inch here in Blowing Rock and still gusty. Moisture fetch stretches all the way down into Georgia-currently very little east motion on it.

Downpours and gusts have arrived. 0.6" so far, absolutely dumping out there now though.

Been pretty calm here in Blowing Rock so far. Only about 1/3" and winds not more than 15-20 m.p.h.