Damage In Tolland

Yup . He’s a mean one for sure.Nothing to track or look forward to for weeks

FXwxalert on the board here. Good guy and great met in CT for years . Uses fax machine I believe

The earlier one in Nov was stronger. Maybe a week or 2 prior

Based on what Frank discovered and tweeted.. this event should “blow” that one away

Right . Nothing was. He had his hands tied and you could tell by his AFD. And rest assured Frank agreed with me. Just couldn’t comment. There wasn’t any ill will at all in that . Merry Christmas to all Nws folks . Even Legro

This is one of those deals where the higher winds will be away from the ocean. Like the Cape to say BDR will gust less than 10-50 or 75 miles inland if those temps and dews are legit . There won’t be any snowpack. It’ll be wiped out mainly by dark Xmas Eve . It’s 50’s all day

There’s never been an inversion. The GFS is always lowest in winds. When it shows these eye popping numbers 2-4 days in advance when it’s usually last to catch on, you’d sure better take the gusts up and high . That’s a huge signal. It’s gonna be 62/59. It is going to absolutely rip

We Walt

deterministic guidance continues to trend upward with low level 925 mb jet up to 75-85 kt of wind streaming across CT-RI and eastern MA Thu night into Fri morning. While models do struggle with low level lapse rates on southerly wind events, model time sections indicate 50-60 kt of wind extending downward to below 1 kft! That`s typically a good signal for 50+ kt reaching the surface

This is exactly what they did in that massive Nov event. They have some new mets that don’t understand CT Climo , and frankly don’t pay much attention to CT. It’s very ENE centric. They didn’t even issue wind advisories for that event and we ended up with some of the strongest winds and most outages. However I just read it and it’s Nocera and he’s good. He let ALB and OKX overrule him. It’s coming After collaboration with WFO ALY & OKX will hold off on interior CT given highest threat is RI and Eastern MA as low level jet continues to increase as it advects across those areas. However later shifts may have to expand high wind watch westward into CT.

Pope?

Boom when the ens mean show this. Katy bar the door

When good modeled patterns get pushed back and delayed and delayed and delayed, they never happen. It’s very possible there is no good snowy pattern next week or beyond and the storm last week was it

For those that are meh ing this saying nothings coming.. I feel badly for them Xmas Day. This has all the makings of a big and widespread event as Scooter said this morning

Two possible snow or rain to snow events to track for next week. At least something to look forward to

12z Euro ups the ante

This event favors hilltops , ridges particularly but also places 10-30 miles inland off the water

Just an unreal look. May go down as one of our all time screams .. and on Christmas Day no less

Thinks it’s gonna be rain to thump snow SNE

I meant the ones earlier this AM that Walt discussed

GEFS look favorable for Monday/ Tuesday. Op tossed as usual

Great friends surround us