Damage In Tolland

Not 3.5 days out. Let’s wait till 2.5 tomorrow

I would be conservative where you are, .probably not more 9-10".

When the Ukie makes a move... more often than not Euro follows... they’re intertwined somehow

Wonder if Euro follows . Oh boy

This is an entirely different animal with deep east inflow. There won’t be any sucker holes like that other than shadowed valleys which we see in all these type deals . When you get those massive deform bands folks are going to suck exhaust like that one. This ain’t that. That ain’t this .

Flurries here

Cane?

Johnny Cash We walk the line And thats New England

Deal With It -Cosgrove

The valley is so narrow.. especially in CT. It increases in elevation very quickly on either side. The models always make it look like it’s as wide as the Mississippi

Kitkrieg Kraver thinking all of CT and s getting 1-3” . I mean we’re 3.5-4 days out . We know these shift and disappear

My area on your maps depicted there are the same as yours. What you are seeing further to my west is the model depiction of where it thinks the CTRV is. They always are too wide on either side of it in shadow events. You know that. Deep east flow. I actually like NE hills CT for more than your area

I care.

I don’t see that at all. This should have relatively uniform qpf except where we see the deform set up over western and central areas where there could be a bit more. We’ll probably see the CTRV shadow like we did in Morch 2013. And your area probably stays snow . EPS outlines it all

Yeah we know that hole won’t be there. They disappear each run

Don’t like the look going forward

It really is uncanny. Those never waver.. yet snowstorms always do

Sou’easter screamer still there day 9. Please someone offer some hope here that we can trend that east and under us?

Monday-Tuesday... The Pacific system arrives in the Eastern USA, generating a coastal storm along the Carolina coast. GFS is faster, the ECMWF is slower. Both bring plenty of precip to Srn New England, just a little different on timing. As with the Sunday skies, and based on the stronger amplitude aloft, we favored a stronger blend of the NBM with slower guidance. Both camps of models bring roughly 1-2 inches of water to the region, with snow over interior sections while the coastal plain converts to rain Monday afternoon...then mixes with snow Monday night and Tuesday. Interesting to see IVT guidance clearly showing the moisture feeding in from an atmospheric river from the southern Gulf of Mexico and waters east of Florida.

Pounded

Yup.

I don’t know who is right, but we are not 6 days out. So you are wrong . If you wanted to say 5 days .. ok I can see that but it’s not starting Tuesday

Only the Euro is that slow. It’s wrong

Well there’s a few that think the storms 6 days away starting on Tuesday . But most of us know it’s Sunday nite into Tuesday nite .. so that means Friday at 48 hours out we should know

Based on an off hour FV3 run? What do you think