Damage In Tolland

I’m not saying we don’t get a couple showers Sunday , but I will continue to vehemently disagree with this widespread soaking 1-2” rainfall idea. There’s tons of low level dry air. I’m kind of surprised you’re going against that and super soaking region

So the Euro is right and good ? He also wrote ECMWF

Doesn’t sound bad at all. Even will be some sun at times next week. Easy to take wx The GFS and ECMWF also show low level high pressure building south from Maine, generating an east wind across Srn New England. If this air is drier, it will further limit QPF amounts. Will forecast chance-level pops, with QPF values near 0.25 inches...but that may be overestimating. The east flow will also bring cooler air that supports max temps in the 50s. Another sign of the cooler air will be the dew points, which fall to around 40 Sunday night. This and the expected clouds suggest min temps in the 40s. Monday through Wednesday... Clouds linger Monday as one upper low...of several...moves overhead. Some signs weak upper ridge between the upper lows moves through sometime Tuesday or Wednesday, but timing confidence is low. Expect partly to mostly cloudy skies along with scattered or widely scattered showers during this time.

Just am amazing warm, sunny, dry spring that overall looks to continue . Other than 2012. This is how you draw them up

NYC end game . Each run another shunt. I wanted to drop fert too. Sucks

That’s insane. You are in a mini Bakersville there. I knew when I saw your pictures of that field and low area in between hills you’d radiate, but not to that extent. Also easy to torch too on DSD days. Unfortunately not much rain next 7 days for lawns

It may not

We want rain. Unfortunately the pattern upcoming is not conducive

GGEM , EURO, ICON all Stein train . Only new GFS left

We like the Steins with the shunts and the bumps. Shunts and the bumps

Any weenies coming out?

SW CT sure. Not much here or Stevens . You can see happening each run. We’ll see how it looks Friday

Gotta stop looking at Qpf. The takeaway is the push SW of stronger HP and horrific moisture transport. Could be mostly cloudy Sunday if trends continue

Couple showers next week. Will that help?

Model QPF shows roughly 0.50 to 0.75 inches falling on Sunday and Monday. However, IVT water vapor transport forecasts break down during this time, with some vapor transport wrapping back around the Great Lakes while the rest shifts southeast and east, passing south of our area. The upper jet also fades with time

Yes compare that to 00z night before . Noticeable shift SW. plenty more to come too. Congrats NYC and SW

Already backing off qpf Sunday and Monday on overnight guidance which a shunt .

Can you link this? Was this the one that models had 2-4” regionally and that axis ended up his area on SE? If so, he’d be the first to admit he was not really correct. Like you on every post . You cut wood all day and come in not having seen models or following anything

Maybe some rain Sunday PM though you can also see how that gets suppressed SW with that strong HP. Nice Monday - Tuesday.. then we’ll examine mid week to see how it evolves over time . Much TBD

You’re gonna go down hard. Warned

Sell. Not gonna happen like modeled . Listen to Tip. Dudes been on fire

Unlikely. Can envision a Crap day here and there, but that he’ll block is west meaning ugliness mainly over the lakes and MW. There’ll be a bunch of days like this week as well

That’ll end up 200 miles southwest over NYC sW

He’ll Stein you when you riding in your car He’ll Stein you when you playing your guitar Oh but you need not feel so all alone.. EVERYBODY MUST GET STEINED (weenies playing harmonicas and whooping yee haws in background)