Scoots got taken to the woodshed for the upcoming week. Pretty bad whipping
What could work in favor for warm weather fans is that we have dry
antecedent conditions and it does not take much for temperatures to
overperform with a combination of downsloping and the higher sun
angle in early April. Then towards mid week, with the H5 low further
offshore, Wednesday and Thursday should represent our best chance
for more widespread 60s, with the exception being the Cape and
Islands as the flow turns northerly. Overall, agree with the CPC`s 6
to 10 day outlook for 40 to 50 percent probability of above normal
temperatures (though this would be generous for coastal areas).
Precipitation wise, expect mainly dry conditions to prevail as the
aforementioned high latitude blocking tends to shunt precipitation
to the south and west. There could be some showers over the Cape
and Islands on Monday associated with the warm advection from
the offshore H5 low. Otherwise, it is mostly dry until the
Friday/Saturday time frame. Even then, the latest suite of
model guidance has been less bullish with the late- week
precipitation and would not be surprised to see it trend even
drier.