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Damage In Tolland

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  1. It’s strengthening on models into ET. Go back to vacation
  2. That might be the most boring solution of all. All the heavy rain would be well west ( contrary to qpf output) since the front would be over NE PA up into NY and VT.. and all the wind and severe would be well east over the ocean.
  3. This is why we’re all here. We all have different interests and fetishes with various wx aspects. Some folks get off on rains and flooding and others on high wind / severe etc. Amyone not near. River or flooding area doesn’t get too jacked up on big rains other risk from an interest / jackpot point of view. Anyone in the hills with 5-10+ isn’t really affected. It probably won’t cut west like models are showing but if it ever did and strengthens as it transitions to ET.. I’d much prefer that . That’s just me .
  4. That and the tor/ severe threat . 5-10” of rain doesn’t excite things
  5. That’s the track we want . Go west young lass.. go west
  6. I think we’d all take the tors and gusty SE winds over boring flooding rain
  7. 6z Icon rips Dirty Debby west and up the HRV
  8. Dude.. they both have 4-8” for all of New England this week
  9. The flooding rains are a lock . It’s possible your area sees double that this week
  10. Your forecast quoted and noted . Good luck
  11. A wild weekend of severe , flooding , and damage and Wiz disappears yet drives to PA for cloud to cloud lightning. Truly head scratching
  12. Yeah HFD is Brainard Field . It’s its own site . It always has been and noone ever considers them the same lol. Or uses HFD stats .
  13. Big issues Tropical Storm Debby... There remains a lot of uncertainty surrounding the late week and early weekend forecast regarding the track of Tropical Storm Debby and what impacts might be seen in southern New England. While there is rather high confidence that Debby gets "hung up" in the Charleston/Savannah area early this week anticipating the low, and moisture, will eventually be steered towards our region. Impacts from Debby may begin as early as Friday and last through Sunday evening. Ensemble probabilities paint a picture of a 10 to perhaps 40% chance of 24 hour QPF exceeding 2" and a few pixels of exceeding 4" of QPF during the same period. Combining this with deterministic runs, with both the GFS and ECWMF showing wide swaths of 2-5"+ of rain across the region, its quite reasonable to deduce, based on the current forecast track of the storm, that this storm will bring a considerable amount of rain to SNE. In fact, WPC has placed us in an uncommon day FIVE marginal risk for excessive rainfall, which may be elevated in later updates. We will have a better grasp on the expected max precipitation potential and location of heaviest rain over the next several days.
  14. We`re expecting an unsettled week ahead with persistent mid level troughing over the northeast and a stalled cold front that will bring near daily rain chances to the region through Thursday. Beyond the first few days of the forecast, our attention is focused on now Tropical Storm Debby, which is slated to make landfall, possibly as a Hurricane in the big bend of Florida, in the next day.
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