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Damage In Tolland

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Everything posted by Damage In Tolland

  1. You hate summer and dews so much you are blinded . Summer doesn’t end on Aug 9 in a very warm to hot North America. Canada is furnaced next week and beyond. . There is a lot of heat and dews to go. Well into Septorcher
  2. Oh we will . They’re coming next weekend and beyond.
  3. https://x.com/dhtheweathernut/status/1821707812537332186?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  4. You also said “she gone”. One of those is not like the other
  5. It won’t look like that is the point . Some of us knew Deb wasn’t OTS
  6. So was Deb’s Instead it’s over the Apps
  7. Ernesto destroys! E MA wx will blog !
  8. https://x.com/reid_lt/status/1821645555006644391?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  9. In this case, we`re seeing several favorable signals in model guidance, especially for western thirds of MA/CT. First, there is sufficient 0-3km CAPE (over 200 J/kg) as warm front lifts through during late afternoon and early evening. Local CSTAR research has shown that we only need to see values of 25-75 J/kg in tropical remnant environments so that should easily be attainable. Second, environment itself favors high amounts of shear in lowest levels and in this case we have over 200 m2s2 of 0-1km shear, much of which is focused in 0-500m layer. Research has also shown the 0-500m layer can be a good discriminator for tornadoes vs non tornado environments (values of 95 or higher). Lastly, LCL heights are down to 500m which is below the typical height of about 700m. While these factors line up very well and have support from SREF Tornado Ingredients, it`s not always a lock in these situations. Certainly we`ll be on the eastern edge of more favorable area (region closer to the actual remnant low itself). But we have to watch its warm front extending eastward as well as possibility of mesolow formation along boundary to help enhance spinup. It`s also possible to have all of this occur without any lightning. It`s important to stress that these types of circulations, while potentially supportive of tornadoes, tend to be very shallow in nature and do not last very long. Radar detection can be difficult especially at farther distances from the radar. These situations are usually handled by issuing Severe Thunderstorm Warnings with the "Tornado Possible" tag since it is difficult to track these transient couplets. However, any longer-lived couplets that do manage to form can be handled with Tornado Warnings.
  10. https://x.com/jhomenuk/status/1821591667138232769?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  11. Dews coming up quickly now. Starting to feel nice out again
  12. Except it was since June 25th until yesterday
  13. Shabbs says Aug 20- Sept 10 big dews and heat .
  14. You had posts like “ She gone” to Deb when we said too early to rule anything out. Yesterday you said wouldn’t be much if any rain north of south coast last night … ooof
  15. After about the 25th the dew furnace returns. And early Septorcher looks brutal out to week 4+
  16. You sure are. Had Debbie out to sea.. no rain north of south coast last night and no breaks in dews . Ouch bruh
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