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Damage In Tolland

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Everything posted by Damage In Tolland

  1. I think Everyone about ORH south he’s in that 3-7” range. That’s wild . Especially considering water tables are at ground level and most of it falls in 6-8 hours
  2. He wants it so badly not to rain and whiff . Meanwhile it may flood to Dendy if north trends continue
  3. Looks like a severe threat on Labor Day itself as dews come back up and a stronger cool front coming
  4. The existing flash flood watch has been expanded further north to include the urban areas of Springfield, Worcester, and Boston. An expansion of this watch further northward may be necessary in future updates.
  5. There’s going to be good winds all across SNE. What was missing in Henri was a HP to the north creating a gradient. We have that now. This could cause problems over the entire area. The question is.. are they 30-40 inland or are they 40-55?
  6. How’s severe looking Thursday that you were worried about?
  7. I thought I shared the story with you guys about my brother over text . Just very against it . Do what you do
  8. Just stick with beer and away from the weed
  9. It creates discussion, posts , controversy and trolling. And I’ll edit to include what Bobo did with emoticons Check Mate
  10. No one wants cold and fall weather in early September. It’s still summer. After the 20th it can and should start getting cold with snow chances by Oct
  11. Meanwhile, at the surface, remnant low level circulation of Ida likely tracks along or just off the south coast of New England, placing CT/RI/MA on the cool side of the storm. If this storm track verifies, a chilly windswept rain with gusty NE winds would materialize, as models suggest a robust 45 kt low level NE jet north of the surface low. This may result in a low risk of wind gusts strong enough for minor tree damage given fully leaved trees. Furthermore, this track would place the cool sector over CT/RI/MA, shunting any severe weather/tornado threat offshore. Although, still 2-3 days away, so mesoscale details can change between now and then, specifically the axis of heaviest rainfall. New 12z GFS storm total rainfall has a swath of 2-4" across CT/RI and south of the MA Pike. New 12z GEFS supports this idea with 4+ inch probs across the same area. 12z EC farther north with axis of heaviest rain across northern CT into Greater Boston area, with amounts up to 6 inches. 12z EC ensembles support this heavy rain signal, with low risk of 4+ inch probs across CT into RI. Thus, this heavy rain signal combined with current flows of small rivers and streams much above normal /not much capacity remaining for additional rainfall/, further increases the flood threat. This combined with 1) remnants of Ida yielding PWATs 2+ inches, strong mid level Fgen in response to confluent flow over New England and an anomalous 140kt jet streak over southeast Quebec (+2 SD), with RRQ over CT/RI/MA, enhancing QG forcing for ascent. All of these parameters are supportive of a flood watch for CT/RI and southeast MA, including Cape Cod and the Islands. This flood watch may need to be expanded northward tonight or Tue, if forecast confidence increase on heavy rain axis shifting northward. We will have to watch closely where the confluent zone sets up, as there will be a sharp north to south qpf gradient, yielding big qpf bust potential.
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