Not the widely called for 4-8” , but I think most will be happy to grab 1-3” before the late week torch
Sunday night...
Best chances of precipitation as the trough digs into the Mid
Atlantic/Upstate NY. In response to the trough digging in the
secondary low deepens and lifts over or east of eastern MA. How
quickly/deep/close this low develops to the region will determine
the impacts. Did bump up snowfall amounts slightly from the previous
forecast given the clustering of EPS members along with the NAM and
other high resolution guidance with respect to the low pressure
center developing closer. If things trend in this direction then
totals will need to be increased further, but if a further offshore
solution is the way things go then amounts will need to be lowered.
Can see this in the WPC Super Ensemble Plume guidance with a
somewhat bimodal distribution, but most members cluster in the
lower totals. Most locations anticipated to see up to an inch of
snowfall accumulation away from the coast and perhaps 2 inches
across the higher terrain in the eastern slopes of the
Berkshires. The coastal plain should see little if any snowfall
accumulation given Ptype will mostly be rain and perhaps some
snow mixing in due to the coastal front.