Not that .. but it may drive every p type farther north
For example . 54 here today . So you remove all icing out of forecast tomorrow. And any snow that falls farther north early on will be wasted to cooling the low levels . So it’s all connected
The biggest issue especially ORH south is there’s no front end thump. That’s how we get our snow in these. That’s why it’ll start out as sleet / ice. With no antecedent cold.. we don’t get the normal 2-4 hours of heavier snow .
Yeah you guys are fine there , so is Scooter. At least you’ll have the ground covered for next week. Goose is cooked south of 90 for snow tomorrow. These never trend colder under 24 hours.
There’s just no front end thump with marginal cold . So you lose that . And midlevel warming always comes in faster than modeled. As long as we get good icing I’ll be content . Just gotta hope Xmas Eve storm holds
Not good trends overnight. My worries seem legit . I honestly feel like it begins as sleet here and goes fairly quickly to zr. Just speaking for this area. You guys north of pike are good
The warm trends have started and my thinking of rain to ORH unfortunately is in play . Ray will end up with the 1-3” modeled here . We’ve got 36 more hours left for more warming . It may end up mainly ice ending as 33 drizzle
I have a sneaking suspicion this trends warmer at midlevels from here on out and drops only sleet and zr south of 90 . And the the 1-3” gets shoved up by route 2