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Damage In Tolland

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  1. https://x.com/webberweather/status/1699562532397363291?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  2. 20% of a direct hit at day 9. Not leaning toward a miss . Said cannot go higher than 20% hit at this distance . And he generally Poo poos everything in winter and tropics .
  3. I am on team Shabbs. The fact he is invested is VERY telling
  4. No one in the wx community or not would call or consider this a cool chilly summer . It simply wasn’t . It was warm and humid and wet .
  5. There’s no way you or anyone else knows how the pattern and storm track are going to evolve 9 days out. Right now anything is equally possible . And that is fact. No option is favored
  6. In the winter you’d have 14 animations showing a hit . And then it would miss . This is fascinating
  7. We question and call bluff https://x.com/tollandkev/status/1699548004951236820?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  8. Foliage season is going to be brutal. The wet humid summer already had the season as pastel and blights . Add in a cane throwing salt water way inland and leaf stripping and tree damage. There may not be one at all
  9. That’s what Shabbs always tells . HDD and CDD. Who cares if temps were -1 if it’s humid? That’s why no one cares about tenps. It’s dews
  10. No one said they did . But there is a vast misconception that it was cool summer . It was not
  11. The mean continues shifting west on both EPS and GEFS
  12. Yes it was. The degree days spell it out . We had a 5-6 week period of some of the highest consistent dews our region has ever seen . The fact that June and Aug show pretty blue doesn’t mean it was a cool chilly summer
  13. Each run farther west . Things you love to see
  14. This was a warm humid summer . The silly blues in June don’t account for the actual degree days and cooling data
  15. Maybe we’ll get back to back cat 3 -4 hits from both in SNE!
  16. See summer / fall of 38’ leading up to cane. Interesting correlation to this year
  17. The pieces are there … in one big chess game ….
  18. Which is why we’ve seen the continued west trend each set of ensemble runs . Stronger riding and trough backing west. Tit for tat. Still a bit of work and bumping.. but 9 days out much can happen
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