Hopefully damage is Regional with this today .
The main severe weather threat will roughly be from 9 am to 1
pm across western MA/CT and late morning through about 4 pm
across eastern MA/RI. This is when the associated cold front and
its associated strong forcing arrives. Quite the impressive
dynamics will be present with effective shear of 45-55 knots and
500-1000 J/KG of Cape. These type of events are challenging to
forecast because a small change in Cape can make the difference
between numerous severe thunderstorms vs. not much of anything.
Some of the latest machine learning probabilities have
increased the potential for severe weather over the past 24
hours. In fact...the latest SPC SCRAM is very aggressive in
showing high probs of a line of showers and thunderstorms with
the potential for strong to damaging wind gusts. Given the
strong dynamics and fully leafed trees there is concern for
pockets of wind damage and power outages. While this potential
exists across the entire region;