If this was winter these wet n wild Mets would be so conservative when they should be gung ho. In summer it’s rains gone wild when so many things could go wrong . Interfering to note
Subject to change .. but I’ve been thinking .5- .75 .. if lucky 1” If happen to get a storm today that’s not included
Enjoy the 4th . It’s as hot as a firecracker
https://x.com/barstoolsports/status/2073385963242340699?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
I really hope you are correct with your forecast . I remain highly skeptical of that much rain over a large area. I can think of a bunch of scenarios over the years modeled like this.. and that’s not how it ended .
Wagons def south. Convection will rob alot of the moisture . Baroclinic processes basically nil in summer. Folks always fall for these widespread soakers in summer and then get upset with .50
I just don’t understand why that NYC area gets hit so often and we can never get anything like that . We get warnings that don’t even rain and they blow every plane off runways
Euro suite loves doing this in summer . Convection will rob heavy moisture transport north and lack of baroclinicity in summer . Other guidance will take it to woodshed again